Copa Sudamericana
· Group Stage - 1
April 09, 2026 00:00
Allan Wlk
13'
17'
(ast. Alexis Cuello)
Rodrigo Auzmendi
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave San Lorenzo a 36% win probability (draw 40%, Deportivo Recoleta 22%). The final result was Deportivo Recoleta 1–1 San Lorenzo.
Match statistics
5
Total shots
11
2
Shots on target
4
0.80
Actual xG
1.42
4
Saves
1
41%
Possession
59%
6
Corners
4
17
Tackles
17
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
Nicolás Marotta
10'
⚽Allan Wlk
13'
17'
ast. Alexis Cuello ·
Rodrigo Auzmendi⚽
46'
Gonzalo Abrego
/
Gregorio Rodriguez
Facundo Echeguren
49'
57'
Mathias de Ritis
/
Teo Rodríguez Pagano
66'
Luciano Vietto
/
Alexis Cuello
66'
Facundo Gulli
/
Nahuel Barrios
73'
Mathias de Ritis
Aldo Gonzalez
/ Héctor López
74'
Kevin Parzajuk
/ Junior Noguera
74'
79'
Ignacio Perruzzi
/
Manuel Insaurralde
Lucas Monzon
81'
Facundo Echeguren
/ Claudio Figueredo
82'
Jose Antonio Espinola Nunez
/ Ronal Dominguez
89'
Wilfrido Baez
/ Richard Ortiz
89'
Pre-match prediction
22.89%
Deportivo
40.81%
X ←
36.31%
San
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
40.81%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.33
0.80
+0.47
0.79
1.42
+0.63
San Lorenzo dominated by xG (1.42 vs 0.80).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
12
G
18
Pedro Rios
D
Pedro Rios
D
32
L. Monzón
D
L. Monzón
D
5
Nicolás Marotta
D
Nicolás Marotta
D
2
Facundo Echeguren
82'
D
Facundo Echeguren
82'
D
33
A. González
74'
M
A. González
74'
M
6
Jose Espinola
89'
M
Jose Espinola
89'
M
38
J. Franco
M
J. Franco
M
17
W. Báez
89'
M
W. Báez
89'
M
29
A. Wlk
1 ⚽
F
A. Wlk
1 ⚽
F
11
K. Parzajuk
74'
F
K. Parzajuk
74'
F
Bench
14
Claudio Figueredo
8'
D
Claudio Figueredo
8'
D
8
Fernando Galeano
M
Fernando Galeano
M
19
Héctor López
16'
M
Héctor López
16'
M
10
Junior Alexander Noguera Machuca
16'
M
Junior Alexander Noguera Machuca
16'
M
3
Luis Cardozo
D
Luis Cardozo
D
4
M. Pereira
D
31
M. Schupp
M
13
Oscar Toledo
G
Oscar Toledo
G
9
Richard Ortiz
1'
F
7
Ronal Dominguez
1'
M
Ronal Dominguez
1'
M
24
Thiago Vidal
F
Thiago Vidal
F
12
G
55
Lautaro Montenegro
D
Lautaro Montenegro
D
16
D
32
Ezequiel Herrera
D
Ezequiel Herrera
D
3
Teo Rodríguez Pagano
57'
M
Teo Rodríguez Pagano
57'
M
28
Nahuel Barrios
66'
M
Nahuel Barrios
66'
M
24
Nicolás Tripichio
M
Nicolás Tripichio
M
8
Manuel Insaurralde
79'
M
Manuel Insaurralde
79'
M
17
Gregorio Rodriguez
45'
M
Gregorio Rodriguez
45'
M
29
Rodrigo Auzmendi
1 ⚽
F
Rodrigo Auzmendi
1 ⚽
F
9
A. Cuello
1 👟
66'
F
A. Cuello
1 👟
66'
F
Bench
14
Agustin Ladstatter
D
Agustin Ladstatter
D
10
Facundo Gulli
24'
M
26
Gonzalo Abrego
45'
M
Gonzalo Abrego
45'
M
4
Jhohan Romaña
D
Jhohan Romaña
D
19
Luciano Vietto
24'
F
6
Mathias de Ritis
33'
D
Mathias de Ritis
33'
D
11
M. Reali
F
M. Reali
F
Best on the pitch
G · Deportivo
7.90
· 34 pass
A. Wlk
F · Deportivo
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 20 pass
Mathias de Ritis
D · San
7.30
1 shots
· 8 pass
A. Cuello
F · San
7.30
1 👟
3 shots
· 15 pass
Manuel Insaurralde
M · San
7.20
· 52 pass
Teo Rodríguez Pagano
M · San
7.20
· 19 pass
Deportivo Recoleta — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 21% | — | — | — | |
| Pedro Rios | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Monzón | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 32 | 23% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Nicolás Marotta | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 13 | 9% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Facundo Echeguren | D | 82 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 19 | 12% | 2 | 1 | — |
| A. González | M | 74 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Jose Espinola | M | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Franco | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 26 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| W. Báez | M | 89 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Wlk | F | 90 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 2 | 20 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Parzajuk | F | 74 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 12% | 3 | — | — |
| Claudio Figueredo | D | 8 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Héctor López | M | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Junior Alexander Noguera Machuca | M | 16 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Richard Ortiz | F | 1 | — | — | — | 1 | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Ronal Dominguez | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
San Lorenzo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 10% | — | — | — | |
| Lautaro Montenegro | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 42 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 35 | 31% | 2 | — | — | |
| Ezequiel Herrera | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 51 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| Teo Rodríguez Pagano | M | 57 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| Nahuel Barrios | M | 66 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 35 | 29% | — | — | — |
| Nicolás Tripichio | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 37 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| Manuel Insaurralde | M | 79 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 52 | 48% | 5 | — | — |
| Gregorio Rodriguez | M | 45 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo Auzmendi | F | 90 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 28 | 13% | — | — | — |
| A. Cuello | F | 66 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 3 | 15 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Facundo Gulli | M | 24 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Gonzalo Abrego | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Luciano Vietto | F | 24 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Mathias de Ritis | D | 33 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 4% | 2 | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Deportivo Recoleta vs San Lorenzo?
The final score was Deportivo Recoleta 1–1 San Lorenzo.
What did the model predict before Deportivo Recoleta vs San Lorenzo?
The model assigned 22% probability to a Deportivo Recoleta win, 40% to a draw, and 36% to an San Lorenzo win.