HNL · Regular Season - 32 April 26, 2026 20:45

Dinamo Zagreb

#1 · 82 pts

2 – 1

Final score

NK Varazdin

#4 · 48 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Dinamo Zagreb

J. Misic (ast. L. Stojkovic) 48'

D. Beljo (ast. G. Vidovic) 81'

51' (ast. F. Maglica) A. Borsic

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Dinamo Zagreb a 75% win probability (draw 13%, NK Varazdin 10%). The final result was Dinamo Zagreb 2–1 NK Varazdin. In 3 previous meetings, Dinamo Zagreb have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for NK Varazdin.

Match statistics

13

Total shots

4

8

Shots on target

2

1.09

Actual xG

0.43

1

Saves

6

64%

Possession

36%

10

Corners

4

22

Tackles

22

1

🟨 Yellow cards

0

Match Events

↕ M. Soldo / G. Vidovic

46'

⚽J. Misic · ast. L. Stojkovic

48'

51'

ast. F. Maglica · A. Borsic⚽

M. Valincic

55'

↕ M. Perez Vinlof / B. Goda

56'

↕ M. Lisica / M. Bakrar

56'

59'

I. Tavares / T. Duvnjak ↕

68'

I. Canjuga / A. Latkovic ↕

↕ M. Valincic / N. Galesic

70'

↕ A. Hoxha / I. Bennacer

75'

⚽D. Beljo · ast. G. Vidovic

81'

82'

M. Mladenovski / S. Lesjak ↕

82'

D. Puclin / L. Mamic ↕

82'

S. Ilinkovic / M. Marina ↕

90'+3

I. Tavares

Pre-match prediction

75.92%

Dinamo ←

13.66%

X

10.42%

NK

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Dinamo Zagreb) 75.92% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Dinamo

3.27

1.09

-2.18

NK

1.05

0.43

-0.62

Dinamo Zagreb dominated by xG (1.09 vs 0.43). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Dinamo Zagreb	34	82
2	HNK Hajduk Split	34	64
3	HNK Rijeka	34	49
4	NK Varazdin	34	48
5	Istra 1961	34	42
6	NK Lokomotiva Zagreb	34	42
7	NK Slaven Belupo	34	41
8	HNK Gorica	34	38
9	NK Osijek	34	32
10	Vukovar	34	28

Lineups

Dinamo Zagreb 4-3-3

40

G 6.30

22

M. Perez Vinlof 56' D 6.30

26

S. McKenna D 7.30

36

S. Dominguez D 7.20

25

M. Valincic 70' D 6.70

7 L. Stojković 1 👟 M 7.30

27 J. Mišić 1 ⚽ M 8.60

14

M. Soldo 45' M 6.30

11 A. Hoxha 75' F 6.90

9 D. Beljo 1 ⚽ F 7.90

21 M. Lisica 56' F 6.70

Bench

3

B. Goda 36' D 6.90

23

Cardoso Varela F

10 G. Vidović 1 👟 47' M 7.20

71 M. Bakrar 36' F 6.70

15

N. Galesic 22' D 6.30

NK Varazdin 3-4-2-1

33

G 7.30

16

Novak Tepšić D 6.70

44

M. Barac D 5.90

2

S. Lesjak 82' D 6.30

25

A. Borsic 1 ⚽ M 7.30

8 T. Duvnjak 59' M 6.50

24

M. Marina 82' M 6.60

23

1 👟 M 6.90

22

L. Mamic 82' F 6.50

7

M. Vuk F 7.30

10 A. Latković 68' F 6.00

Bench

6

D. Puclin 10' M 6.70

28

I. Canjuga 24' F 6.30

38

I. Tavares 33' F 6.50

13

Mario Mladenovski 10' D 6.70

Best on the pitch

J. Mišić

M · Dinamo

8.60

1 ⚽

2 shots · 64 pass

D. Beljo

F · Dinamo

7.90

1 ⚽

3 shots · 22 pass

S. McKenna

D · Dinamo

7.30

2 shots · 98 pass

L. Stojković

M · Dinamo

7.30

1 👟

1 shots · 54 pass

G · NK

7.30

· 28 pass

M. Vuk

F · NK

7.30

2 shots · 28 pass

Dinamo Zagreb — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	92	6.30	—	—	—	23	19%	—	—	—
M. Perez Vinlof	D	56	6.30	—	—	—	33	31%	3	—	—
S. McKenna	D	92	7.30	—	—	2	98	83%	3	—	—
S. Dominguez	D	92	7.20	—	—	—	86	81%	3	—	—
M. Valincic	D	70	6.70	—	—	2	45	36%	1	1	—
L. Stojković	M	92	7.30	—	1	1	54	51%	1	—	—
J. Mišić	M	92	8.60	1	—	2	64	56%	2	—	—
M. Soldo	M	45	6.30	—	—	—	12	11%	1	—	—
A. Hoxha	F	75	6.90	—	—	—	19	16%	1	—	—
D. Beljo	F	92	7.90	1	—	3	22	17%	—	—	—
M. Lisica	F	56	6.70	—	—	—	21	18%	1	—	—
B. Goda	D	36	6.90	—	—	—	16	12%	3	—	—
G. Vidović	M	47	7.20	—	1	2	22	20%	1	—	—
M. Bakrar	F	36	6.70	—	—	—	11	10%	2	—	—
N. Galesic	D	22	6.30	—	—	1	12	11%	—	—	—

NK Varazdin — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	92	7.30	—	—	—	28	12%	—	—	—
Novak Tepšić	D	92	6.70	—	—	—	35	27%	4	—	—
M. Barac	D	92	5.90	—	—	—	27	21%	—	—	—
S. Lesjak	D	82	6.30	—	—	—	21	15%	2	—	—
A. Borsic	M	92	7.30	1	—	1	36	26%	3	—	—
T. Duvnjak	M	59	6.50	—	—	—	25	21%	2	—	—
M. Marina	M	82	6.60	—	—	1	15	13%	3	—	—
	M	92	6.90	—	1	—	29	21%	2	—	—
L. Mamic	F	82	6.50	—	—	—	27	21%	2	—	—
M. Vuk	F	92	7.30	—	—	2	28	22%	1	—	—
A. Latković	F	68	6.00	—	—	—	9	9%	1	—	—
D. Puclin	M	10	6.70	—	—	—	6	6%	1	—	—
I. Canjuga	F	24	6.30	—	—	—	5	4%	1	—	—
I. Tavares	F	33	6.50	—	—	—	5	4%	—	—	—
Mario Mladenovski	D	10	6.70	—	—	—	8	7%	—	—	—