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Diosgyori VTK - Paks

OTP Bank Liga May 16, 2026 17:15
#11 · 28 pts
vs
#3 · 50 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
12.89%
Win
Diosgyori VTK
15.65%
Draw
71.46%
Win
Paks
0.61
Expected xG
2.39
Model prediction
Paks
71.46%
Probability
58.3%
1X2 accuracy · 12 predictions (3 months)

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Paks a 71% win probability, against 15% for a draw and 12% for Diosgyori VTK. Expected goals are 0.6 for Diosgyori VTK and 2.4 for Paks (total 3.0), with a 80% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–2 at 14.2% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Diosgyori VTK have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Paks.

Score Matrix
↕ Diosgyori VTK Paks →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.0% 11.9% 14.2% 11.4% 6.8% 3.2%
1 3.0% 7.2% 8.7% 6.9% 4.1% 2.0%
2 0.9% 2.2% 2.6% 2.1% 1.3% 0.6%
3 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
5
Recent form
L Gyori ETO FC 4–0
W Kisvarda FC 1–2
L Debreceni VSC 0–5
L Ferencvarosi TC 3–1
L Puskas Academy 1–2
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 14%
W Debreceni VSC 5–2
L Ferencvarosi TC 2–0
W Puskas Academy 1–0
L Nyiregyhaza 2–0
W Kazincbarcikai 5–1
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 28%
Playing profile
Diosgyori VTK Diosgyori VTK
Attack
20
Defence
39
Form
22
Paks Paks
Attack
36
Defence
73
Form
54
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Gyori ETO FC Gyori ETO FC 32 66
2 Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi TC 32 65
3 Paks Paks 32 50
4 Debreceni VSC Debreceni VSC 32 50
5 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 32 48
6 Puskas Academy Puskas Academy 32 45
7 Ujpest Ujpest 32 40
8 Kisvarda FC Kisvarda FC 32 40
9 Nyiregyhaza Nyiregyhaza 32 39
10 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 32 37
11 Diosgyori VTK Diosgyori VTK 32 28
12 Kazincbarcikai Kazincbarcikai 32 21
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Diosgyori VTK vs Paks?
The model gives Diosgyori VTK a 12% win probability, 15% for a draw, and 71% for an Paks win.
How many goals are expected in Diosgyori VTK vs Paks?
Expected goals: Diosgyori VTK 0.6, Paks 2.4 (total 3.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 80%.
What is the most likely score in Diosgyori VTK vs Paks?
0–2 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 14.2%.