Scottish Cup
· Semi-finals
April 18, 2026 13:30
✗Model wrong — prediction Dunfermline, result Pareggio
J. Cooper
120'+1
(pen.)
C. Gilmour
120'+2
(pen.)
C. Hamilton
120'+3
(pen.)
T. Oakley-Boothe
120'+4
(pen.)
(pen.)
120'+3
B. Parkinson
(pen.)
120'+4
F. Lissah
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Dunfermline a 55% win probability (draw 22%, Falkirk 21%). The final result was Dunfermline 0–0 Falkirk.
Match statistics
Match Events
N. Abdulai
17'
C. Kane
36'
58'
C. Allan
58'
L. McCann
63'
K. Wilson
/
F. Yeats
C. Morrison
/ S. Kearney
68'
A. Amade
/ T. Oakley-Boothe
76'
C. Kane
/ J. Cooper
76'
79'
F. Lissah
83'
B. Parkinson
/
B. Stewart
A. Tod
84'
96'
D. Tait
M. Todd
/ L. Fyfe
101'
102'
H. Cartwright
/
D. Tait
102'
E. Ross
/
C. Miller
105'
B. Graham
/
B. Broggio
J. Chilokoa-Mullen
/ C. Hamilton
105'
110'
L. Neilson
/
C. Allan
T. Oakley-Boothe
110'
115'
H. Cartwright
K. Ngwenya
116'
120'+1
H. Cartwright
120'+1
H. Cartwright
120'+1
(missed pen.)
B. Spencer⚽
⚽J. Cooper
(pen.)
120'+1
120'+2
(missed pen.)
L. Henderson⚽
⚽C. Gilmour
(pen.)
120'+2
120'+3
(pen.)
B. Parkinson⚽
⚽C. Hamilton
(pen.)
120'+3
120'+4
(pen.)
F. Lissah⚽
⚽T. Oakley-Boothe
(pen.)
120'+4
Pre-match prediction
55.75%
Dunfermline
22.78%
X ←
21.47%
Falkirk
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
22.78%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.00
—
—
0.98
—
—
Lineups
13
Aston Oxborough
G
47
Robbie Fraser
D
18
N. Abdulai
D
3
Kieran Ngwenya
D
2
Jeremiah Mullen
D
14
Alfons Amade
M
38
Callumn Morrison
M
10
Matty Todd
M
8
C. Gilmour
1 ⚽
M
26
Andy Tod
F
20
Chris Kane
F
Bench
5
Chris Hamilton
1 ⚽
M
31
John Tod
D
33
Josh Cooper
1 ⚽
M
22
Keith Bray
M
4
Kyle Benedictus
D
34
Lucas Fyfe
F
35
Tashan Oakley-Boothe
1 ⚽
M
19
G
28
F. Lissah
1 ⚽
D
5
Liam Henderson
D
Liam Henderson
D
20
Connor Allan
D
Connor Allan
D
3
L. McCann
D
21
Dylan Tait
M
Dylan Tait
M
8
Brad Spencer
M
Brad Spencer
M
29
Calvin Miller
M
Calvin Miller
M
14
Finn Yeats
M
Finn Yeats
M
11
Ben Broggio
M
Ben Broggio
M
16
B. Stewart
F
Bench
27
Ben Parkinson
1 ⚽
D
Ben Parkinson
1 ⚽
D
17
Henry Cartwright
M
Henry Cartwright
M
2
Keelan Adams
D
22
Kyrell Wilson
M
Kyrell Wilson
M
Dunfermline — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Oxborough | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Robbie Fraser | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Abdulai | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kieran Ngwenya | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jeremiah Mullen | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alfons Amade | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Callumn Morrison | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matty Todd | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Gilmour | M | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andy Tod | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Chris Kane | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Falkirk — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| F. Lissah | D | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Liam Henderson | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Connor Allan | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. McCann | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dylan Tait | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Brad Spencer | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Calvin Miller | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Finn Yeats | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ben Broggio | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Stewart | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Dunfermline vs Falkirk?
The final score was Dunfermline 0–0 Falkirk.
What did the model predict before Dunfermline vs Falkirk?
The model assigned 55% probability to a Dunfermline win, 22% to a draw, and 21% to an Falkirk win.