Egyptian Premier League
· Relegation Group - 9
May 08, 2026 16:00
S. Naguib
(ast. M. Salim)
82'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave El Mokawloon a 44% win probability (draw 33%, El Gouna FC 22%). The final result was El Mokawloon 1–0 El Gouna FC. In 1 previous meetings, El Mokawloon have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for El Gouna FC.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
4
6
Shots on target
0
0.94
Actual xG
0.37
0
Saves
5
55%
Possession
45%
6
Corners
2
16
Tackles
19
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
15'
H. Ibrahim
36'
M. Mohsen
66'
R. Salah
/
M. Mohsen
66'
M. El Nahas
/
M. Mahmoud
H. Faisal
/ I. Gaber
70'
M. Adel
/ A. Ouled Behi
70'
J. Ojera
71'
78'
A. Karim
/
M. Emad
78'
D. A. Mohamed S. E.
/
A. Gamal
⚽S. Naguib
· ast. M. Salim
82'
M. Salim
/ A. Hawash
84'
90'+1
S. El Shimi
90'
A. Refaat
/
H. Ibrahim
S. Naguib
/ M. Gamal
90'
Pre-match prediction
44.44%
El ←
33.43%
X
22.12%
El
we assigned to the actual result (El Mokawloon)
44.44%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.99
0.94
-0.05
0.58
0.37
-0.21
El Mokawloon dominated by xG (0.94 vs 0.37).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
Mahmoud Abou El-Saoud
G
Mahmoud Abou El-Saoud
G
24
Nader Hesham
D
Nader Hesham
D
3
Mohamed Hamed
D
Mohamed Hamed
D
21
D
26
Kahraba
D
Kahraba
D
12
Omar El Wahsh
M
Omar El Wahsh
M
31
Mohamed Adel
70'
M
Mohamed Adel
70'
M
32
Hussein Faisal
70'
M
Hussein Faisal
70'
M
9
Mohamed Salem
1 👟
84'
M
Mohamed Salem
1 👟
84'
M
25
Joackiam Ojera
M
Joackiam Ojera
M
10
Shokry Naguib
1 ⚽
F
Shokry Naguib
1 ⚽
F
Bench
44
Ahmed Nader Hawash
12'
F
Ahmed Nader Hawash
12'
F
28
Ahmed Ouled Behi
26'
M
Ahmed Ouled Behi
26'
M
74
Mohamed Abdelnasser
M
Mohamed Abdelnasser
M
22
Mohamed Antar
F
Mohamed Antar
F
18
Mohamed Fawzi
G
Mohamed Fawzi
G
14
Mostafa Gamal
6'
M
Mostafa Gamal
6'
M
23
G
28
Mostafa Metawea
D
Mostafa Metawea
D
4
D
5
S. El Shimi
D
2
Abdel Gawad Taalab
D
Abdel Gawad Taalab
D
6
Hafiz Ibrahim
M
Hafiz Ibrahim
M
14
Nour El Sayed
M
Nour El Sayed
M
10
Mohamed Mahmoud
66'
M
Mohamed Mahmoud
66'
M
17
Ahmed Gamal
78'
F
Ahmed Gamal
78'
F
9
Marwan Mohsen
66'
F
Marwan Mohsen
66'
F
30
Mohamed Emad
78'
F
Bench
90
A. Karim
18'
M
36
Alpha Turay
M
Alpha Turay
M
3
Khaled Ahmed
D
Khaled Ahmed
D
22
Mohamed El Nahass
30'
F
Mohamed El Nahass
30'
F
8
Reda Salah
30'
M
Reda Salah
30'
M
Best on the pitch
G · El
8.00
· 22 pass
Omar El Wahsh
M · El
7.70
· 58 pass
Nader Hesham
D · El
7.50
1 shots
· 39 pass
S. El Shimi
D · El
7.30
· 25 pass
Mohamed Hamed
D · El
7.20
1 shots
· 35 pass
Shokry Naguib
F · El
7.20
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 24 pass
El Mokawloon — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mahmoud Abou El-Saoud | G | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 14 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Nader Hesham | D | 96 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| Mohamed Hamed | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 25% | 2 | — | — | |
| Kahraba | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 39 | 24% | 3 | — | — |
| Omar El Wahsh | M | 96 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 58 | 44% | 3 | — | — |
| Mohamed Adel | M | 70 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 22 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Hussein Faisal | M | 70 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| Mohamed Salem | M | 84 | 6.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Joackiam Ojera | M | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
| Shokry Naguib | F | 90 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 4 | 24 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Ahmed Nader Hawash | F | 12 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Ahmed Ouled Behi | M | 26 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Mostafa Gamal | M | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
El Gouna FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 8.00 | — | — | — | 22 | 14% | — | — | — | |
| Mostafa Metawea | D | 96 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 29 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 18% | 1 | — | — | |
| S. El Shimi | D | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 15% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Abdel Gawad Taalab | D | 96 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 25 | 16% | 4 | — | — |
| Hafiz Ibrahim | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 36 | 26% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Nour El Sayed | M | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 44 | 30% | 3 | — | — |
| Mohamed Mahmoud | M | 66 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| Ahmed Gamal | F | 78 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Marwan Mohsen | F | 66 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 15 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
| Mohamed Emad | F | 78 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Karim | M | 18 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 5 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Mohamed El Nahass | F | 30 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Reda Salah | M | 30 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of El Mokawloon vs El Gouna FC?
The final score was El Mokawloon 1–0 El Gouna FC.
What did the model predict before El Mokawloon vs El Gouna FC?
The model assigned 44% probability to a El Mokawloon win, 33% to a draw, and 22% to an El Gouna FC win.