LigaPro
· Regular Season - 11
April 26, 2026 02:00
Luis Fragozo
(ast. Luca Klimowicz)
58'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Emelec a 36% win probability (draw 32%, LDU de Quito 30%). The final result was Emelec 1–0 LDU de Quito.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
8
5
Shots on target
3
4
Saves
4
46%
Possession
54%
9
Corners
4
7
Tackles
10
2
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
Sergio Quintero
53'
Romario Caicedo
56'
⚽Luis Fragozo
· ast. Luca Klimowicz
58'
62'
Gabriel Villamil
/
Jesús Pretell
62'
Alejandro Tobar
/
Edison Gomez
62'
Leonel Quiñónez
/
Patrick Ortiz
66'
Yerlin Quinonez
/
Josue Caicedo
Luis Fragozo
/ Francisco Pizzini
73'
Luca Klimowicz
/ José Neris
73'
Ariel Mina
/ Ignacio Guerrico
73'
73'
Michael Estrada
/
Alexander Alvarado
José Cevallos
/ Estalin Segura
85'
Angelo Mina
/ Gonzalo Nápoli
90'
Pre-match prediction
36.94%
Emelec ←
32.77%
X
30.3%
LDU
we assigned to the actual result (Emelec)
36.94%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.97
—
—
0.80
—
—
Lineups
12
G
21
J. Cevallos
85'
D
51
D
2
D
16
Sergio Quintero
D
Sergio Quintero
D
14
Romario Caicedo
D
Romario Caicedo
D
30
A. Mina
73'
M
15
Luis Fragozo
1 ⚽
73'
M
Luis Fragozo
1 ⚽
73'
M
6
V. Griffith
M
V. Griffith
M
5
Angelo Mina
89'
M
Angelo Mina
89'
M
7
Luca Klimowicz
1 👟
73'
F
Luca Klimowicz
1 👟
73'
F
Bench
4
Estalin Segura
13'
D
Estalin Segura
13'
D
10
Francisco Pizzini
17'
F
Francisco Pizzini
17'
F
8
Gonzalo Nápoli
1'
M
Gonzalo Nápoli
1'
M
3
Ignacio Guerrico
17'
D
Ignacio Guerrico
17'
D
9
J. Neris
17'
F
80
Orlando Herrera
D
Orlando Herrera
D
1
Gonzalo Valle
G
Gonzalo Valle
G
26
Josue Caicedo
66'
D
Josue Caicedo
66'
D
25
Patrick Ortiz
62'
D
30
Gian Franco Allala
D
Gian Franco Allala
D
14
José Quintero
D
José Quintero
D
10
Alexander Alvarado
73'
M
Alexander Alvarado
73'
M
32
Edison Gomez
62'
M
Edison Gomez
62'
M
8
Jesús Pretell
62'
M
Jesús Pretell
62'
M
31
M
16
Deyverson
F
Deyverson
F
9
Jeison Medina
F
Jeison Medina
F
Bench
99
Alejandro Tobar
28'
M
Alejandro Tobar
28'
M
15
G. Villamíl
28'
M
G. Villamíl
28'
M
33
Leonel Quiñónez
28'
D
Leonel Quiñónez
28'
D
44
Luis Segovia
D
Luis Segovia
D
11
Michael Estrada
17'
F
Michael Estrada
17'
F
7
Rodney Redes
F
Rodney Redes
F
23
Yerlin Quinonez
24'
F
Yerlin Quinonez
24'
F
Best on the pitch
D · Emelec
7.70
· 42 pass
Leonel Quiñónez
D · LDU
7.30
· 26 pass
Luis Fragozo
M · Emelec
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 7 pass
José Quintero
D · LDU
7.20
· 39 pass
Gonzalo Valle
G · LDU
7.20
· 17 pass
G · Emelec
7.20
· 31 pass
Emelec — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 31 | 16% | — | — | — | |
| J. Cevallos | D | 85 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 24% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 36 | 32% | — | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 42 | 35% | 1 | — | — | |
| Sergio Quintero | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 34 | 31% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Romario Caicedo | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 17% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Mina | M | 73 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Luis Fragozo | M | 73 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| V. Griffith | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 24 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Angelo Mina | M | 89 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 28 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| Luca Klimowicz | F | 73 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Estalin Segura | D | 13 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Francisco Pizzini | F | 17 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Gonzalo Nápoli | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ignacio Guerrico | D | 17 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| J. Neris | F | 17 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
LDU de Quito — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gonzalo Valle | G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Josue Caicedo | D | 66 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Patrick Ortiz | D | 62 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| Gian Franco Allala | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 23 | 21% | — | — | — |
| José Quintero | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 39 | 29% | 3 | — | — |
| Alexander Alvarado | M | 73 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Edison Gomez | M | 62 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 23 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Jesús Pretell | M | 62 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 18 | 17% | — | — | — |
| M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 25 | 18% | 2 | — | — | |
| Deyverson | F | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 3 | 20 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Jeison Medina | F | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 37 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Alejandro Tobar | M | 28 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | — | — | — |
| G. Villamíl | M | 28 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 20 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Leonel Quiñónez | D | 28 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 26 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Michael Estrada | F | 17 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Yerlin Quinonez | F | 24 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Emelec vs LDU de Quito?
The final score was Emelec 1–0 LDU de Quito.
What did the model predict before Emelec vs LDU de Quito?
The model assigned 36% probability to a Emelec win, 32% to a draw, and 30% to an LDU de Quito win.