J1 League
· Regular Season - 14
May 02, 2026 06:00
Leo Gaucho
(ast. T. Yamane)
83'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sanfrecce Hiroshima a 46% win probability (draw 24%, Fagiano Okayama 28%). The final result was Fagiano Okayama 1–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima. In 1 previous meetings, Fagiano Okayama have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
7
2
Shots on target
2
2
Saves
1
40%
Possession
60%
5
Corners
4
6
Tackles
10
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
T. Kimura
28'
46'
N. Arai
/
S. Higashi
46'
K. Kinoshita
/
A. Suzuki
Lucao
/ Leo Gaucho
55'
T. Kimura
/ J. Nishikawa
55'
58'
N. Arai
60'
S. Nakamura
/
T. Arslan
M. Matsumoto
/ H. Motoyama
63'
63'
S. Sasaki
/
H. Araki
R. Takeuchi
/ A. Esaka
73'
K. Kawano
/ K. Ichimi
73'
K. Ichimi
75'
⚽Leo Gaucho
· ast. T. Yamane
83'
Leo Gaucho
90'+1
90'+6
M. Kato
/
T. Yamasaki
Pre-match prediction
28.77%
Fagiano ←
24.67%
X
46.55%
Sanfrecce
we assigned to the actual result (Fagiano Okayama)
28.77%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.11
—
—
1.66
—
—
Lineups
52
G
43
D
48
D
6
D
88
Towa Yamane
1 👟
M
Towa Yamane
1 👟
M
41
M
7
Ryo Takeuchi
73'
M
Ryo Takeuchi
73'
M
28
Masaya Matsumoto
63'
M
Masaya Matsumoto
63'
M
40
K. Kawano
73'
F
27
Takaya Kimura
55'
F
Takaya Kimura
55'
F
99
Lucão
55'
F
Lucão
55'
F
Bench
8
Ataru Esaka
24'
M
Ataru Esaka
24'
M
26
H. Motoyama
34'
D
22
K. Ichimi
24'
F
5
Kosei Ogura
M
Kosei Ogura
M
45
Noah Kenshin Browne
M
Noah Kenshin Browne
M
1
G
3
Yamasaki Taichi
D
Yamasaki Taichi
D
4
H. Araki
63'
D
33
Shiotani Tsukasa
D
Shiotani Tsukasa
D
24
Higashi Shunki
45'
M
Higashi Shunki
45'
M
14
Taishi Matsumoto
M
Taishi Matsumoto
M
6
Kawabe Hayao
M
Kawabe Hayao
M
15
Shuto Nakano
M
Shuto Nakano
M
30
T. Arslan
60'
F
41
Maeda Naoki
F
Maeda Naoki
F
10
Akito Suzuki
45'
F
Akito Suzuki
45'
F
Bench
13
Arai Naoto
52'
D
Arai Naoto
52'
D
17
Kinoshita Kosuke
52'
F
Kinoshita Kosuke
52'
F
40
Motoki Ohara
M
Motoki Ohara
M
19
Sasaki Sho
34'
D
Sasaki Sho
34'
D
39
Sota Nakamura
37'
F
Sota Nakamura
37'
F
35
Y. Nakajima
M
Best on the pitch
Towa Yamane
M · Fagiano
7.90
1 👟
· 29 pass
Shuto Nakano
M · Sanfrecce
7.50
4 shots
· 20 pass
D · Fagiano
7.30
· 20 pass
Taishi Matsumoto
M · Sanfrecce
7.30
· 59 pass
M · Fagiano
7.20
· 41 pass
D · Fagiano
6.90
2 shots
· 25 pass
Fagiano Okayama — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 97 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 16 | 5% | — | — | — | |
| D | 97 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 28 | 22% | — | — | — | |
| D | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 13% | — | — | — | |
| D | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 25 | 17% | — | — | — | |
| Towa Yamane | M | 97 | 7.90 | — | 1 | — | 29 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| M | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 41 | 35% | 2 | — | — | |
| Ryo Takeuchi | M | 73 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Masaya Matsumoto | M | 63 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 16 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Kawano | F | 73 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 16 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Takaya Kimura | F | 55 | 6.30 | — | — | 4 | 20 | 15% | — | 1 | — |
| Lucão | F | 55 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 9 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Ataru Esaka | M | 24 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| H. Motoyama | D | 34 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| K. Ichimi | F | 24 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 97 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 36 | 22% | — | — | — | |
| Yamasaki Taichi | D | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 62 | 47% | 2 | — | — |
| H. Araki | D | 63 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 31 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| Shiotani Tsukasa | D | 97 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 36 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Higashi Shunki | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Taishi Matsumoto | M | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 59 | 49% | — | — | — |
| Kawabe Hayao | M | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 47 | 39% | — | — | — |
| Shuto Nakano | M | 97 | 7.50 | — | — | 4 | 20 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Arslan | F | 60 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Maeda Naoki | F | 97 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Akito Suzuki | F | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 7 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Arai Naoto | D | 52 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 17% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Kinoshita Kosuke | F | 52 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Sasaki Sho | D | 34 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 30 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Sota Nakamura | F | 37 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Fagiano Okayama vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
The final score was Fagiano Okayama 1–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
What did the model predict before Fagiano Okayama vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
The model assigned 28% probability to a Fagiano Okayama win, 24% to a draw, and 46% to an Sanfrecce Hiroshima win.