Bundesliga · Relegation Group - 24 March 21, 2026 18:00

FC BW Linz

#6 · 21 pts

3 – 2

Final score

Ried

#1 · 28 pts

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC BW Linz a 42% win probability (draw 30%, Ried 26%). The final result was FC BW Linz 3–2 Ried. In 3 previous meetings, FC BW Linz have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 3 wins for Ried.

Match statistics

9

Shots on target

2

3.88

Actual xG

1.14

61%

Possession

39%

12

Corners

0

Pre-match prediction

42.37%

FC ←

30.96%

X

26.67%

Ried

we assigned to the actual result (FC BW Linz) 42.37% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

FC

1.21

3.88

+2.67

Ried

0.73

1.14

+0.41

FC BW Linz dominated by xG (3.88 vs 1.14). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Lask Linz	31	36
1	Ried	31	28
2	Wolfsberger AC	31	25
2	Sturm Graz	31	34
3	Red Bull Salzburg	31	29
3	SCR Altach	31	24
4	WSG Wattens	31	24
4	Austria Vienna	31	29
5	Grazer AK	31	24
5	Rapid Vienna	31	27
6	TSV Hartberg	31	22
6	FC BW Linz	31	21