← Regionalliga - Nordost

FC Carl Zeiss Jena - FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt

Regionalliga - Nordost May 16, 2026 14:00
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
#2 · 69 pts
vs
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
#3 · 61 pts
Weather at kick-off ☁️ Overcast 12.4°C 💨 9 km/h · Jena
⚡ Pre-match analysis
56.71%
Win
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
18.06%
Draw
25.23%
Win
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
2.82
Expected xG
1.85
Model prediction
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
56.71%
Probability
83.3%
1X2 accuracy · 12 predictions (3 months)

The ForzaPitch prediction gives FC Carl Zeiss Jena a 56% win probability, against 18% for a draw and 25% for FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt. Expected goals are 2.8 for FC Carl Zeiss Jena and 1.9 for FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt (total 4.7), with a 83% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 6.9% probability. In 1 previous meetings, FC Carl Zeiss Jena have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt.

Score Matrix
↕ FC Carl Zeiss Jena FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 0.9% 1.7% 1.6% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%
1 2.6% 4.9% 4.5% 2.8% 1.3% 0.5%
2 3.7% 6.9% 6.4% 3.9% 1.8% 0.7%
3 3.5% 6.5% 6.0% 3.7% 1.7% 0.6%
4 2.5% 4.6% 4.2% 2.6% 1.2% 0.4%
5 1.4% 2.6% 2.4% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3%
Recent form
FC Carl Zeiss Jena FC Carl Zeiss Jena
W Hallescher FC 0–2
W BFC Dynamo 2–1
L Magdeburg II 4–1
W Greifswalder FC 2–1
W BFC Preussen 0–2
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 28%
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
W Hertha Zehlendorf 5–2
L FSV Zwickau 2–1
D Eilenburg 3–3
W ZFC Meuselwitz 0–3
D Altglienicke 1–1
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 28%
Playing profile
FC Carl Zeiss Jena FC Carl Zeiss Jena
Attack
53
Defence
77
Form
75
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
Attack
63
Defence
56
Form
56
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
0
Draw
1
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
L 28 Nov 2025 Regionalliga - Nordost 1–3
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig 33 69
2 FC Carl Zeiss Jena FC Carl Zeiss Jena 33 69
3 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 33 61
4 FSV Zwickau FSV Zwickau 33 61
5 Hallescher FC Hallescher FC 33 60
6 Altglienicke Altglienicke 33 50
7 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC 33 50
8 BFC Preussen BFC Preussen 33 50
9 Magdeburg II Magdeburg II 33 49
10 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 33 42
11 BSG Chemie Leipzig BSG Chemie Leipzig 33 40
13 BFC Dynamo BFC Dynamo 33 39
14 SV Babelsberg 03 SV Babelsberg 03 33 38
15 Greifswalder FC Greifswalder FC 33 35
16 ZFC Meuselwitz ZFC Meuselwitz 33 32
17 Eilenburg Eilenburg 33 23
18 Hertha Zehlendorf Hertha Zehlendorf 33 14
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt?
The model gives FC Carl Zeiss Jena a 56% win probability, 18% for a draw, and 25% for an FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt win.
How many goals are expected in FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt?
Expected goals: FC Carl Zeiss Jena 2.8, FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 1.9 (total 4.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 83%.
What is the most likely score in FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 6.9%.