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FC Ingolstadt 04 - Waldhof Mannheim

3. Liga May 16, 2026 13:30
FC Ingolstadt 04
#13 · 46 pts
vs
Waldhof Mannheim
#9 · 52 pts
Weather at kick-off 🌧️ Light showers 12.7°C 💨 13 km/h · Ingolstadt
⚡ Pre-match analysis
42.93%
Win
FC Ingolstadt 04
27.95%
Draw
29.13%
Win
Waldhof Mannheim
1.69
Expected xG
1.39

The ForzaPitch prediction gives FC Ingolstadt 04 a 42% win probability, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Waldhof Mannheim. Expected goals are 1.7 for FC Ingolstadt 04 and 1.4 for Waldhof Mannheim (total 3.1), with a 82% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.8% probability. In 1 previous meetings, FC Ingolstadt 04 have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Waldhof Mannheim.

Score Matrix
↕ FC Ingolstadt 04 Waldhof Mannheim →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.6% 6.4% 4.5% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
1 7.8% 10.8% 7.5% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.5% 9.1% 6.3% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
3 3.7% 5.1% 3.6% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.6% 2.2% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% —
Recent form
FC Ingolstadt 04 FC Ingolstadt 04
W TSV 1860 München 1–2
L Erzgebirge Aue 3–5
W Hoffenheim II 0–3
L VfL Osnabrück 0–1
L Rot-Weiß Essen 4–1
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 24%
Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim
W SSV Jahn Regensburg 1–0
L FC Saarbrücken 2–0
D FC Schweinfurt 05 2–2
D SV Wehen 3–3
L MSV Duisburg 1–4
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 11%
Playing profile
FC Ingolstadt 04 FC Ingolstadt 04
Attack
36
Defence
53
Form
38
Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim
Attack
34
Defence
56
Form
41
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
FC Ingolstadt 04
1
Draw
0
Waldhof Mannheim
D 20 Dec 2025 3. Liga 2–2
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 VfL Osnabrück VfL Osnabrück 37 77
2 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 37 69
3 MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg 37 67
4 Rot-Weiß Essen Rot-Weiß Essen 37 67
5 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock 37 64
6 Verl Verl 37 61
7 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen 37 61
8 TSV 1860 München TSV 1860 München 37 56
9 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim 37 52
10 SV Wehen SV Wehen 37 50
11 FC Viktoria Köln FC Viktoria Köln 37 50
12 SSV Jahn Regensburg SSV Jahn Regensburg 37 49
13 FC Ingolstadt 04 FC Ingolstadt 04 37 46
14 Stuttgart II Stuttgart II 37 46
15 FC Saarbrücken FC Saarbrücken 37 44
16 Hoffenheim II Hoffenheim II 37 43
17 Havelse Havelse 37 35
18 SSV Ulm 1846 SSV Ulm 1846 37 33
19 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue 37 31
20 FC Schweinfurt 05 FC Schweinfurt 05 37 21
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Waldhof Mannheim?
The model gives FC Ingolstadt 04 a 42% win probability, 27% for a draw, and 29% for an Waldhof Mannheim win.
How many goals are expected in FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Waldhof Mannheim?
Expected goals: FC Ingolstadt 04 1.7, Waldhof Mannheim 1.4 (total 3.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 82%.
What is the most likely score in FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Waldhof Mannheim?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.8%.