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FC Schweinfurt 05 - Erzgebirge Aue

3. Liga May 16, 2026 13:30
FC Schweinfurt 05
#20 · 21 pts
vs
Erzgebirge Aue
#19 · 31 pts
Weather at kick-off 🌧️ Light showers 11.5°C 💨 12 km/h · Schweinfurt
⚡ Pre-match analysis
32.28%
Win
FC Schweinfurt 05
28.92%
Draw
38.8%
Win
Erzgebirge Aue
1.37
Expected xG
1.56

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Erzgebirge Aue a 38% win probability, against 28% for a draw and 32% for FC Schweinfurt 05. Expected goals are 1.4 for FC Schweinfurt 05 and 1.6 for Erzgebirge Aue (total 2.9), with a 82% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.4% probability. In 1 previous meetings, FC Schweinfurt 05 have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Erzgebirge Aue.

Score Matrix
↕ FC Schweinfurt 05 Erzgebirge Aue →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.3% 8.3% 6.5% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4%
1 7.3% 11.4% 8.9% 4.6% 1.8% 0.6%
2 5.0% 7.8% 6.1% 3.2% 1.2% 0.4%
3 2.3% 3.6% 2.8% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.8% 1.2% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% —
Recent form
FC Schweinfurt 05 FC Schweinfurt 05
L Havelse 3–2
D TSV 1860 München 1–1
D Waldhof Mannheim 2–2
D Hansa Rostock 0–0
D Hoffenheim II 1–1
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 24%
Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue
D MSV Duisburg 0–0
W FC Ingolstadt 04 3–5
D SV Wehen 2–2
D Stuttgart II 2–2
D Verl 1–1
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 11%
Playing profile
FC Schweinfurt 05 FC Schweinfurt 05
Attack
31
Defence
53
Form
34
Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue
Attack
41
Defence
54
Form
38
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
FC Schweinfurt 05
0
Draw
1
Erzgebirge Aue
L 20 Dec 2025 3. Liga 0–4
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 VfL Osnabrück VfL Osnabrück 37 77
2 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 37 69
3 MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg 37 67
4 Rot-Weiß Essen Rot-Weiß Essen 37 67
5 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock 37 64
6 Verl Verl 37 61
7 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen 37 61
8 TSV 1860 München TSV 1860 München 37 56
9 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim 37 52
10 SV Wehen SV Wehen 37 50
11 FC Viktoria Köln FC Viktoria Köln 37 50
12 SSV Jahn Regensburg SSV Jahn Regensburg 37 49
13 FC Ingolstadt 04 FC Ingolstadt 04 37 46
14 Stuttgart II Stuttgart II 37 46
15 FC Saarbrücken FC Saarbrücken 37 44
16 Hoffenheim II Hoffenheim II 37 43
17 Havelse Havelse 37 35
18 SSV Ulm 1846 SSV Ulm 1846 37 33
19 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue 37 31
20 FC Schweinfurt 05 FC Schweinfurt 05 37 21
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win FC Schweinfurt 05 vs Erzgebirge Aue?
The model gives FC Schweinfurt 05 a 32% win probability, 28% for a draw, and 38% for an Erzgebirge Aue win.
How many goals are expected in FC Schweinfurt 05 vs Erzgebirge Aue?
Expected goals: FC Schweinfurt 05 1.4, Erzgebirge Aue 1.6 (total 2.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 82%.
What is the most likely score in FC Schweinfurt 05 vs Erzgebirge Aue?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.4%.