Super League · Regular Season - 30 March 17, 2026 20:00

FC ST. Gallen

#2 · 69 pts

1 – 1

Final score

FC Lugano

#3 · 64 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction FC ST. Gallen, result Pareggio

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC ST. Gallen a 65% win probability (draw 17%, FC Lugano 17%). The final result was FC ST. Gallen 1–1 FC Lugano. In 3 previous meetings, FC ST. Gallen have won 3 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for FC Lugano.

Match statistics

3

Shots on target

3

0.64

Actual xG

0.58

39%

Possession

61%

5

Corners

4

Pre-match prediction

65.32%

FC

17.54%

X ←

17.15%

FC

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 17.54% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

FC

2.44

0.64

-1.8

FC

0.77

0.58

-0.19

xG dominance was balanced (0.64 – 0.58). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	FC Thun	37	74
1	FC Luzern	37	50
2	FC ST. Gallen	37	69
2	Servette FC	37	50
3	Lausanne	37	42
3	FC Lugano	37	64
4	FC Zurich	37	38
4	FC Sion	37	62
5	Grasshoppers	37	30
5	FC Basel 1893	37	56
6	BSC Young Boys	37	54
6	FC Winterthur	37	23