USL Championship
· Group Stage
April 12, 2026 04:00
55'
L. MacKinnon
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Orange County SC a 34% win probability (draw 34%, FC Tulsa 31%). The final result was FC Tulsa 0–1 Orange County SC.
Match statistics
Match Events
J. Webber
24'
30'
M. Palomino
46'
E. Zubak
/
Y. Bazini
46'
O. Sylla
/
M. Palomino
55'
L. MacKinnon⚽
Bruno Lapa
/ R. Somersall
64'
B. Sparks
/ S. Lukic
64'
K. Elmedkhar
/ R. Cabral
65'
D. Pierre
69'
O. Damm
/ L. Stauffer
75'
76'
T. Espy
/
C. Hegardt
Ian
84'
86'
G. Doody
/
S. Kelly
D. Pierre
/ A. Cissoko
87'
R. Somersall
89'
Pre-match prediction
31.32%
FC
34.28%
X
34.41%
Orange ←
we assigned to the actual result (Orange County SC)
34.41%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.66
—
—
0.90
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC Tulsa vs Orange County SC?
The final score was FC Tulsa 0–1 Orange County SC.
What did the model predict before FC Tulsa vs Orange County SC?
The model assigned 31% probability to a FC Tulsa win, 34% to a draw, and 34% to an Orange County SC win.