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FK Sarajevo - Siroki Brijeg

Premier Liga BiH May 16, 2026 18:00
FK Sarajevo
#3 · 58 pts
vs
Siroki Brijeg
#6 · 40 pts
Weather at kick-off ☁️ Overcast 14.2°C 💨 10 km/h 🌧️ 68% · Sarajevo
⚡ Pre-match analysis
85.15%
Win
FK Sarajevo
8.85%
Draw
6.0%
Win
Siroki Brijeg
3.04
Expected xG
0.3
Model prediction
FK Sarajevo
85.15%
Probability
66.7%
1X2 accuracy · 9 predictions (3 months)

The ForzaPitch prediction gives FK Sarajevo a 85% win probability, against 8% for a draw and 6% for Siroki Brijeg. Expected goals are 3.0 for FK Sarajevo and 0.3 for Siroki Brijeg (total 3.3), with a 66% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 3–0 at 16.6% probability. In 3 previous meetings, FK Sarajevo have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for Siroki Brijeg.

Score Matrix
↕ FK Sarajevo Siroki Brijeg →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.5% 1.1% 0.2% — — —
1 10.7% 3.2% 0.5% — — —
2 16.4% 4.9% 0.7% 0.1% — —
3 16.6% 5.0% 0.7% 0.1% — —
4 12.6% 3.8% 0.6% 0.1% — —
5 7.7% 2.3% 0.3% — — —
Recent form
FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo
W Rudar Prijedor 2–4
L Borac Banja Luka 0–1
W Posušje 0–1
W Sloga Doboj 4–0
W Radnik Bijeljina 1–2
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 43%
Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg
L Borac Banja Luka 0–1
L Sloga Doboj 2–0
W Zrinjski 2–1
L Velež 3–0
L Rudar Prijedor 0–1
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 12%
Playing profile
FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo
Attack
45
Defence
83
Form
66
Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg
Attack
9
Defence
59
Form
29
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
FK Sarajevo
1
Draw
2
Siroki Brijeg
L 15 Mar 2026 Premier Liga BiH 0–1
D 29 Nov 2025 Premier Liga BiH 0–0
L 14 Sep 2025 Premier Liga BiH 1–2
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Borac Banja Luka Borac Banja Luka 33 79
2 Zrinjski Zrinjski 33 66
3 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 33 58
4 Velež Velež 33 48
5 Zeljeznicar Sarajevo Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 33 41
6 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg 33 40
7 Posušje Posušje 33 33
8 Radnik Bijeljina Radnik Bijeljina 33 33
9 Rudar Prijedor Rudar Prijedor 33 29
10 Sloga Doboj Sloga Doboj 33 27
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win FK Sarajevo vs Siroki Brijeg?
The model gives FK Sarajevo a 85% win probability, 8% for a draw, and 6% for an Siroki Brijeg win.
How many goals are expected in FK Sarajevo vs Siroki Brijeg?
Expected goals: FK Sarajevo 3.0, Siroki Brijeg 0.3 (total 3.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 66%.
What is the most likely score in FK Sarajevo vs Siroki Brijeg?
3–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 16.6%.