← National 1

Fleury 91 - Rouen

National 1 May 15, 2026 19:30
#3 · 54 pts
vs
#4 · 52 pts
Weather at kick-off ☁️ Overcast 11.5°C 💨 12 km/h 🌧️ 28% · Bondoufle
⚡ Pre-match analysis
64.96%
Win
Fleury 91
20.79%
Draw
14.25%
Win
Rouen
2.37
Expected xG
0.84
Model prediction
Fleury 91
64.96%
Probability
40.0%
1X2 accuracy · 10 predictions (3 months)

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Fleury 91 a 64% win probability, against 20% for a draw and 14% for Rouen. Expected goals are 2.4 for Fleury 91 and 0.8 for Rouen (total 3.2), with a 73% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–0 at 11.4% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Fleury 91 have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Rouen.

Score Matrix
↕ Fleury 91 Rouen →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.1% 3.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
1 9.6% 8.1% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2%
2 11.4% 9.5% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2%
3 9.0% 7.5% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
4 5.3% 4.4% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
5 2.5% 2.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
Recent form
L Orleans 2–0
W Le Puy Foot 4–0
W Chateauroux 0–2
W Valenciennes 2–0
D Sochaux 2–2
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 44%
L Versailles 1–3
D Quevilly 0–0
W Aubagne 3–1
D Concarneau 0–0
L Villefranche 2–1
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 31%
Playing profile
Fleury 91 Fleury 91
Attack
53
Defence
81
Form
72
Rouen Rouen
Attack
27
Defence
72
Form
46
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
Fleury 91
1
Draw
0
Rouen
D 8 Aug 2025 National 1 0–0
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Dijon Dijon 31 62
2 Sochaux Sochaux 31 57
3 Fleury 91 Fleury 91 31 54
4 Rouen Rouen 31 52
5 Versailles Versailles 31 52
6 Orleans Orleans 31 51
7 Le Puy Foot Le Puy Foot 31 46
8 Caen Caen 31 40
9 Concarneau Concarneau 31 37
10 Valenciennes Valenciennes 31 36
11 Villefranche Villefranche 31 36
12 Aubagne Aubagne 31 34
13 Gobelins Gobelins 31 32
14 Bourg-en-bresse 01 Bourg-en-bresse 01 32 31
15 Quevilly Quevilly 31 30
16 Chateauroux Chateauroux 31 29
17 Stade Briochin Stade Briochin 31 26
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Fleury 91 vs Rouen?
The model gives Fleury 91 a 64% win probability, 20% for a draw, and 14% for an Rouen win.
How many goals are expected in Fleury 91 vs Rouen?
Expected goals: Fleury 91 2.4, Rouen 0.8 (total 3.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 73%.
What is the most likely score in Fleury 91 vs Rouen?
2–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.4%.