← Brasileirão Série A
Brasileirão Série A · Regular Season - 8 March 21, 2026 23:30
Fluminense
#3 · 27 pts
1 – 0
Final score
Atletico-MG
#13 · 18 pts

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Fluminense a 50% win probability (draw 24%, Atletico-MG 25%). The final result was Fluminense 1–0 Atletico-MG.

Match statistics
4
Shots on target
5
0.71
Actual xG
1.69
56%
Possession
44%
3
Corners
2
Pre-match prediction
50.65%
Fluminense ←
24.19%
X
25.16%
Atletico-MG
we assigned to the actual result (Fluminense) 50.65% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Fluminense
2.86
0.71
-2.15
Atletico-MG
0.92
1.69
+0.77
Atletico-MG dominated by xG (1.69 vs 0.71). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Palmeiras Palmeiras 15 34
2 Flamengo Flamengo 14 30
3 Fluminense Fluminense 15 27
4 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 15 24
5 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 15 23
6 Bahia Bahia 14 22
7 RB Bragantino RB Bragantino 15 20
8 Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama 15 20
9 Coritiba Coritiba 15 20
10 Vitoria Vitoria 14 19
11 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 15 19
12 Botafogo Botafogo 14 18
13 Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 15 18
14 Internacional Internacional 15 18
15 Santos Santos 15 18
16 Corinthians Corinthians 15 18
17 Gremio Gremio 15 17
18 Mirassol Mirassol 14 13
19 Remo Remo 15 12
20 Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc 14 9
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Fluminense vs Atletico-MG?
The final score was Fluminense 1–0 Atletico-MG.
What did the model predict before Fluminense vs Atletico-MG?
The model assigned 50% probability to a Fluminense win, 24% to a draw, and 25% to an Atletico-MG win.