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Fluminense - Chapecoense-sc

Brasileirão Série A April 27, 2026 03:30
Fluminense
#3 · 27 pts
vs
Chapecoense-sc
#20 · 9 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
71.33%
Win
Fluminense
15.88%
Draw
12.79%
Win
Chapecoense-sc
3.09
Expected xG
0.53
Model prediction
Fluminense
71.33%
Probability
33.3%
1X2 accuracy · 6 predictions (3 months)

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Fluminense a 71% win probability, against 15% for a draw and 12% for Chapecoense-sc. Expected goals are 3.1 for Fluminense and 0.5 for Chapecoense-sc (total 3.6), with a 82% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 3–0 at 13.2% probability.

Score Matrix
↕ Fluminense Chapecoense-sc →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.7% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% — —
1 8.3% 4.4% 1.2% 0.2% — —
2 12.8% 6.8% 1.8% 0.3% — —
3 13.2% 7.0% 1.8% 0.3% — —
4 10.2% 5.4% 1.4% 0.3% — —
5 6.3% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2% — —
Recent form
Fluminense Fluminense
D Vitoria 2–2
L Internacional 2–0
W Santos 2–3
L Flamengo 1–2
D Coritiba 1–1
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 28%
Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc
D Mirassol 1–1
L RB Bragantino 1–2
L Botafogo 1–4
L Atletico Paranaense 2–0
D Vitoria 1–1
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 16%
Playing profile
Fluminense Fluminense
Attack
44
Defence
56
Form
57
Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc
Attack
24
Defence
50
Form
22
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Palmeiras Palmeiras 15 34
2 Flamengo Flamengo 14 30
3 Fluminense Fluminense 15 27
4 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 15 24
5 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 15 23
6 Bahia Bahia 14 22
7 RB Bragantino RB Bragantino 15 20
8 Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama 15 20
9 Coritiba Coritiba 15 20
10 Vitoria Vitoria 14 19
11 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 15 19
12 Botafogo Botafogo 14 18
13 Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 15 18
14 Internacional Internacional 15 18
15 Santos Santos 15 18
16 Corinthians Corinthians 15 18
17 Gremio Gremio 15 17
18 Mirassol Mirassol 14 13
19 Remo Remo 15 12
20 Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc 14 9
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Fluminense vs Chapecoense-sc?
The model gives Fluminense a 71% win probability, 15% for a draw, and 12% for an Chapecoense-sc win.
How many goals are expected in Fluminense vs Chapecoense-sc?
Expected goals: Fluminense 3.1, Chapecoense-sc 0.5 (total 3.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 82%.
What is the most likely score in Fluminense vs Chapecoense-sc?
3–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.2%.