← Erovnuli Liga

Gagra - Rustavi

Erovnuli Liga May 16, 2026 15:00
Gagra
#9 · 10 pts
vs
Rustavi
#2 · 19 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
19.61%
Win
Gagra
26.29%
Draw
54.1%
Win
Rustavi
0.78
Expected xG
1.85

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Rustavi a 54% win probability, against 26% for a draw and 19% for Gagra. Expected goals are 0.8 for Gagra and 1.8 for Rustavi (total 2.6), with a 71% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–1 at 13.4% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Gagra have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Rustavi.

Score Matrix
↕ Gagra Rustavi →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.3% 13.4% 12.4% 7.6% 3.5% 1.3%
1 5.6% 10.4% 9.6% 5.9% 2.7% 1.0%
2 2.2% 4.0% 3.7% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4%
3 0.6% 1.0% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% —
5 — — — — — —
Recent form
Gagra Gagra
L Spaeri 3–0
L Dinamo Batumi 1–2
L Samgurali 2–0
D Meshakhte 1–1
W Dinamo Tbilisi 0–1
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 14%
Rustavi Rustavi
L Dinamo Tbilisi 2–3
D Torpedo Kutaisi 1–1
W Dila 1–0
W Saburtalo 2–1
D Meshakhte 0–0
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 30%
Playing profile
Gagra Gagra
Attack
21
Defence
59
Form
32
Rustavi Rustavi
Attack
37
Defence
77
Form
58
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
1
Gagra
0
Draw
0
Rustavi
W 15 Mar 2026 Erovnuli Liga 2–1
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Saburtalo Saburtalo 12 24
2 Rustavi Rustavi 12 19
3 Dila Dila 12 19
4 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 12 18
5 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 12 17
6 Spaeri Spaeri 12 15
7 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi 12 14
8 Samgurali Samgurali 12 14
9 Gagra Gagra 12 10
10 Meshakhte Meshakhte 12 10
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Gagra vs Rustavi?
The model gives Gagra a 19% win probability, 26% for a draw, and 54% for an Rustavi win.
How many goals are expected in Gagra vs Rustavi?
Expected goals: Gagra 0.8, Rustavi 1.8 (total 2.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 71%.
What is the most likely score in Gagra vs Rustavi?
0–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.4%.