← J1 League
#3 · 25 pts
2 – 2
Final score
pens 5–3
#7 · 23 pts
Model wrong — prediction Gamba Osaka, result Pareggio
T. Kishimoto (ast. G. Miura) 26'
I. Jebali (ast. T. Usami) 65'
T. Usami 120'+1 (pen.)
S. Abe 120'+2 (pen.)
R. Meshino 120'+3 (pen.)
K. Okunuki 120'+4 (pen.)
G. Miura 120'+5 (pen.)
(og) 5' M. Higashiguchi
72' (ast. Werik Popo) A. Esaka
(pen.) 120'+1 A. Esaka
(pen.) 120'+3 K. Kawano
(pen.) 120'+4 Werik Popo

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Gamba Osaka a 55% win probability (draw 23%, Fagiano Okayama 20%). The final result was Gamba Osaka 2–2 Fagiano Okayama. In 1 previous meetings, Gamba Osaka have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Fagiano Okayama.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
4
5
Shots on target
1
0
Saves
3
73%
Possession
27%
9
Corners
2
13
Tackles
15
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
5'
(og) M. Higashiguchi
T. Kishimoto · ast. G. Miura
26'
42'
N. Browne
56'
M. Matsumoto / H. Motoyama
57'
K. Shirai / N. Browne
T. Suzuki / R. Mito
60'
D. Hummet / T. Usami
61'
R. Yamashita / K. Okunuki
61'
I. Jebali · ast. T. Usami
65'
67'
Werik Popo / K. Ichimi
67'
K. Kawano / T. Kimura
Welton / R. Meshino
68'
72'
ast. Werik Popo · A. Esaka
G. Miura
74'
85'
J. Nishikawa / K. Ogura
R. Hatsuse / S. Nakano
88'
T. Usami (pen.)
120'+1
120'+1
(pen.) A. Esaka
S. Abe (pen.)
120'+2
120'+2
(missed pen.) D. Tagami
R. Meshino (pen.)
120'+3
120'+3
(pen.) K. Kawano
K. Okunuki (pen.)
120'+4
120'+4
(pen.) Werik Popo
G. Miura (pen.)
120'+5
Pre-match prediction
55.3%
Gamba
23.95%
X ←
20.75%
Fagiano
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 23.95% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Gamba
2.48
Fagiano
0.95
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 16 31
1 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 16 31
1 Kashima Kashima 16 39
1 Kashima Kashima 16 39
2 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 15 28
2 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 16 31
2 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 16 35
2 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 16 35
3 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 16 33
3 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 17 25
3 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 14 28
3 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 17 25
4 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 16 25
4 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 16 25
4 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 16 25
4 Urawa Urawa 16 24
5 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 16 24
5 Urawa Urawa 16 24
5 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 15 24
5 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 16 24
6 Shimizu S-pulse Shimizu S-pulse 16 24
6 Shimizu S-pulse Shimizu S-pulse 16 24
6 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 16 23
6 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 16 23
7 Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock 16 18
7 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 16 23
7 Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock 16 18
7 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 16 23
8 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 17 21
8 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 16 17
8 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 16 17
8 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 17 21
9 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 16 14
9 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 16 20
9 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 15 20
9 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 16 14
10 JEF United Chiba JEF United Chiba 16 12
10 V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki 16 19
10 JEF United Chiba JEF United Chiba 15 12
10 V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki 16 19
Lineups
Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 4-2-3-1
1 Masaaki Higashiguchi Masaaki Higashiguchi 1 ⚽ G 5.90
21 Ryo Hatsuse Ryo Hatsuse 88' D 6.90
4 Shinnosuke Nakatani Shinnosuke Nakatani D 7.00
5 Genta Miura Genta Miura 1 ⚽ 1 👟 D 7.90
15 Takeru Kishimoto Takeru Kishimoto 1 ⚽ D 7.60
16 Tokuma Suzuki Tokuma Suzuki 60' M 7.20
13 S. Abe S. Abe 1 ⚽ M 7.30
97 Welton Welton 68' M 6.20
11 I. Jebali I. Jebali 1 ⚽ M 7.20
17 R. Yamashita R. Yamashita 61' M 6.30
23 Deniz Hümmet Deniz Hümmet 61' F 6.20
Bench
42 Harumi Minamino Harumi Minamino F
44 Kanji Okunuki Kanji Okunuki 1 ⚽ 38' M 6.30
27
R. Mito 39' M 6.90
8 Ryotaro Meshino Ryotaro Meshino 1 ⚽ 31' F 6.70
47 Shinya Nakano Shinya Nakano 11' D 6.70
10 Shu Kurata Shu Kurata M
7 Takashi Usami Takashi Usami 1 ⚽ 1 👟 38' F 7.70
Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 3-4-2-1
1
G 6.50
6
D 6.20
18
D. Tagami D 6.20
48
D 7.20
45 Noah Kenshin Browne Noah Kenshin Browne 57' M 6.90
5 Kosei Ogura Kosei Ogura 85' M 6.70
41
M 6.30
26
H. Motoyama 56' M 6.90
8 Ataru Esaka Ataru Esaka 2 ⚽ F 7.70
27 Takaya Kimura Takaya Kimura 67' F 5.90
22
K. Ichimi 67' F 6.20
Bench
3
K. Fujii M
40
K. Kawano 1 ⚽ 32' F 6.30
51 Kosuke Shirai Kosuke Shirai 42' D 6.20
28 Masaya Matsumoto Masaya Matsumoto 43' M 6.30
98 Werik Popó Werik Popó 1 ⚽ 1 👟 32' F 7.60
Best on the pitch
Genta Miura
Genta Miura
D · Gamba
7.90
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots · 82 pass
Takashi Usami
Takashi Usami
F · Gamba
7.70
1 ⚽ 1 👟
· 27 pass
Ataru Esaka
Ataru Esaka
F · Fagiano
7.70
2 ⚽
1 shots · 26 pass
Werik Popó
Werik Popó
F · Fagiano
7.60
1 ⚽ 1 👟
· 7 pass
Takeru Kishimoto
Takeru Kishimoto
D · Gamba
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 85 pass
S. Abe
S. Abe
M · Gamba
7.30
1 ⚽
· 90 pass
Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Masaaki Higashiguchi G 99 5.90 1 16 11%
Ryo Hatsuse D 88 6.90 1 55 43% 2
Shinnosuke Nakatani D 99 7.00 1 73 67%
Genta Miura D 99 7.90 1 1 1 82 72% 1
Takeru Kishimoto D 99 7.60 1 1 85 75% 2
Tokuma Suzuki M 60 7.20 50 41%
S. Abe M 99 7.30 1 90 78% 4
Welton M 68 6.20 1 15 14% 1
I. Jebali M 99 7.20 1 3 27 23% 1
R. Yamashita M 61 6.30 25 22%
Deniz Hümmet F 61 6.20 1 8 7%
Kanji Okunuki M 38 6.30 1 16 14%
R. Mito M 39 6.90 28 27% 1
Ryotaro Meshino F 31 6.70 1 1 18 16%
Shinya Nakano D 11 6.70 7 6%
Takashi Usami F 38 7.70 1 1 27 19% 2
Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 99 6.50 14 6%
D 99 6.20 24 15% 2
D. Tagami D 99 6.20 1 15 8% 1
D 99 7.20 23 10% 2
Noah Kenshin Browne M 57 6.90 1 9 7% 2 1
Kosei Ogura M 85 6.70 1 21 14% 2
M 99 6.30 24 18%
H. Motoyama M 56 6.90 15 9% 1
Ataru Esaka F 99 7.70 2 1 26 17% 1
Takaya Kimura F 67 5.90 15 6% 1
K. Ichimi F 67 6.20 17 10% 2
K. Kawano F 32 6.30 1 4 4%
Kosuke Shirai D 42 6.20 3 2%
Masaya Matsumoto M 43 6.30 6 5%
Werik Popó F 32 7.60 1 1 7 4% 1
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Gamba Osaka vs Fagiano Okayama?
The final score was Gamba Osaka 2–2 Fagiano Okayama.
What did the model predict before Gamba Osaka vs Fagiano Okayama?
The model assigned 55% probability to a Gamba Osaka win, 23% to a draw, and 20% to an Fagiano Okayama win.