Serie A
· Regular Season - 32
April 12, 2026 14:30
R. Malinovskyi
(ast. T. Baldanzi)
18'
C. Ekuban
(ast. Junior Messias)
84'
57'
I. Kone
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Genoa a 45% win probability (draw 27%, Sassuolo 26%). The final result was Genoa 2–1 Sassuolo. In 1 previous meetings, Genoa have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Sassuolo.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
13
7
Shots on target
6
1.20
Actual xG
1.21
5
Saves
5
53%
Possession
47%
5
Corners
3
13
Tackles
7
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
1
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
R. Malinovskyi
5'
⚽R. Malinovskyi
· ast. T. Baldanzi
18'
M. Frendrup
20'
32'
J. Doig
40'
S. Walukiewicz
M. E. Ellertsson
45'+2
45'+2
D. Berardi
R. Malinovskyi
/ P. Masini
55'
T. Baldanzi
/ A. Martin
55'
L. Colombo
/ C. Ekuban
55'
57'
I. Kone⚽
67'
W. Coulibaly
/
S. Walukiewicz
67'
C. Volpato
/
N. Matic
Vitinha
/ Junior Messias
75'
81'
L. Lipani
/
J. Doig
81'
E. Iannoni
/
A. Pinamonti
⚽C. Ekuban
· ast. Junior Messias
84'
87'
L. Moro
/
I. Kone
S. Sabelli
/ S. Otoa
87'
90'+1
T. Muharemovic
Pre-match prediction
45.79%
Genoa ←
27.23%
X
26.99%
Sassuolo
we assigned to the actual result (Genoa)
45.79%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.39
1.20
-0.19
0.94
1.21
+0.27
xG dominance was balanced (1.20 – 1.21).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
16
Justin Bijlow
G
Justin Bijlow
G
22
D
5
Leo Østigård
D
Leo Østigård
D
27
D
77
Mikael Ellertsson
47'
M
Mikael Ellertsson
47'
M
17
R. Malinovskyi
1 ⚽
55'
M
R. Malinovskyi
1 ⚽
55'
M
32
Morten Frendrup
M
Morten Frendrup
M
20
Stefano Sabelli
87'
M
Stefano Sabelli
87'
M
9
Vitinha
75'
F
Vitinha
75'
F
8
T. Baldanzi
1 👟
55'
F
29
Lorenzo Colombo
55'
F
Lorenzo Colombo
55'
F
Bench
3
Aarón Martín
35'
D
Aarón Martín
35'
D
4
Alexsandro Amorim
M
Alexsandro Amorim
M
18
Caleb Ekuban
1 ⚽
35'
F
Caleb Ekuban
1 ⚽
35'
F
21
Jeff Ekhator
F
Jeff Ekhator
F
10
Junior Messias
1 👟
15'
F
34
S. Otoa
3'
D
49
G
3
J. Doig
81'
D
80
Tarik Muharemović
D
21
J. Idzes
D
6
S. Walukiewicz
67'
D
42
K. Thorstvedt
M
K. Thorstvedt
M
18
N. Matic
67'
M
90
I. Kone
1 ⚽
87'
M
45
A. Laurienté
F
A. Laurienté
F
99
A. Pinamonti
81'
F
A. Pinamonti
81'
F
10
D. Berardi
47'
F
D. Berardi
47'
F
Bench
20
A. Fadera
F
7
C. Volpato
23'
M
35
L. Lipani
9'
M
8
M. Nzola
F
Best on the pitch
Junior Messias
F · Genoa
7.70
1 👟
· 6 pass
R. Malinovskyi
M · Genoa
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 39 pass
Stefano Sabelli
M · Genoa
7.50
1 shots
· 40 pass
Caleb Ekuban
F · Genoa
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 4 pass
I. Kone
M · Sassuolo
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 41 pass
T. Baldanzi
F · Genoa
7.30
1 👟
3 shots
· 26 pass
Genoa — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Bijlow | G | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 32 | 28% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 59 | 51% | 2 | — | — | |
| Leo Østigård | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 74 | 70% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 45 | 40% | — | — | — | |
| Mikael Ellertsson | M | 47 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | — | — | 1 |
| R. Malinovskyi | M | 55 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 39 | 32% | — | 1 | — |
| Morten Frendrup | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 44 | 41% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Stefano Sabelli | M | 87 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| Vitinha | F | 75 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Baldanzi | F | 55 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 3 | 26 | 23% | 4 | — | — |
| Lorenzo Colombo | F | 55 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Aarón Martín | D | 35 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Caleb Ekuban | F | 35 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Junior Messias | F | 15 | 7.70 | — | 1 | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| S. Otoa | D | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Sassuolo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 14% | — | — | — | |
| J. Doig | D | 81 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 31% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Tarik Muharemović | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 38% | — | — | — |
| J. Idzes | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 45 | 42% | — | — | — |
| S. Walukiewicz | D | 67 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 16% | 2 | 1 | — |
| K. Thorstvedt | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Matic | M | 67 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 38 | 34% | — | — | — |
| I. Kone | M | 87 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 41 | 40% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Laurienté | F | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 4 | 40 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Pinamonti | F | 81 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
| D. Berardi | F | 47 | 5.90 | — | — | 3 | 13 | 7% | — | — | 1 |
| C. Volpato | M | 23 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 13 | 9% | — | — | — |
| L. Lipani | M | 9 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Genoa vs Sassuolo?
The final score was Genoa 2–1 Sassuolo.
What did the model predict before Genoa vs Sassuolo?
The model assigned 45% probability to a Genoa win, 27% to a draw, and 26% to an Sassuolo win.