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Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 33 May 11, 2026 21:15
GIL Vicente
#6 · 50 pts
1 – 3
Final score
Arouca
#10 · 39 pts
L. Esteves (ast. G. Varela) 63'
61' (ast. J. Sanchez) B. Kuipers
67' (ast. P. Gozalbez) I. Barbero
82' (ast. D. Nandin) T. Fukui

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave GIL Vicente a 49% win probability (draw 27%, Arouca 22%). The final result was GIL Vicente 1–3 Arouca. In 1 previous meetings, GIL Vicente have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Arouca.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
10
5
Shots on target
6
0.75
Actual xG
1.39
4
Saves
4
45%
Possession
55%
6
Corners
2
11
Tackles
19
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
A. Moreira
22'
43'
J. Fontan
↕ A. Moreira / J. Fernandes
46'
↕ Ze Carlos / F. Caseres
46'
61'
ast. J. Sanchez · B. Kuipers⚽
⚽L. Esteves · ast. G. Varela
63'
↕ G. Varela / H. Hernandez
64'
↕ S. Garcia / M. Fernandez
64'
67'
ast. P. Gozalbez · I. Barbero⚽
76'
M. Flores / A. Trezza ↕
82'
D. Nandin / I. Barbero ↕
82'
ast. D. Nandin · T. Fukui⚽
↕ G. Konan / Carlos Eduardo
83'
H. Hernandez
89'
90'+2
B. Mansilla / P. Gozalbez ↕
90'+2
J. Silva / N. Djouahra ↕
Pre-match prediction
49.7%
GIL
27.54%
X
22.76%
Arouca ←
we assigned to the actual result (Arouca) 22.76% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
GIL
1.28
0.75
-0.53
Arouca
0.76
1.39
+0.63
Arouca dominated by xG (1.39 vs 0.75). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 FC Porto FC Porto 33 85
2 Sporting CP Sporting CP 33 79
3 Benfica Benfica 33 77
4 SC Braga SC Braga 33 58
5 Famalicao Famalicao 33 53
6 GIL Vicente GIL Vicente 33 50
7 Moreirense Moreirense 33 42
8 Guimaraes Guimaraes 33 42
9 Estoril Estoril 33 39
10 Arouca Arouca 33 39
11 Alverca Alverca 33 39
12 Santa Clara Santa Clara 33 36
13 Rio Ave Rio Ave 33 35
14 Nacional Nacional 33 31
15 Estrela Estrela 33 29
16 Casa Pia Casa Pia 33 29
17 Tondela Tondela 33 28
18 AVS AVS 33 20
Lineups
GIL Vicente GIL Vicente 4-2-3-1
99 Dani Figueira Dani Figueira G 6.00
3 Ghislain Konan Ghislain Konan 83' D 6.20
39 Jonathan Buatu Jonathan Buatu D 6.30
4 Marvin Elimbi Gilbert Marvin Elimbi Gilbert D 6.00
2 Zé Carlos Zé Carlos D 6.00
95 Santi García Santi García 64' M 6.50
6 Zé Carlos Zé Carlos 45' M 6.90
27 Agustín Moreira Agustín Moreira 45' M 6.20
10 Luís Esteves Luís Esteves 1 ⚽ M 7.30
77 Murilo Murilo M 6.90
89 Gustavo Varela Gustavo Varela 1 👟 64' F 6.70
Bench
48 Antonio Espigares Antonio Espigares D
29 Carlos Eduardo Carlos Eduardo 12' F 6.30
5 Facundo Cáseres Facundo Cáseres 45' M 6.90
23 Héctor Hernández Héctor Hernández 26' F 6.30
20 Hevertton Santos Hevertton Santos D
11 Joelson Fernandes Joelson Fernandes 45' F 6.70
30 Lucão Lucão G
32 Martin Fernández Martin Fernández 26' M 6.60
17 Sergio Bermejo Sergio Bermejo F
Arouca Arouca 4-2-3-1
12 Ignacio de Arruabarrena Ignacio de Arruabarrena G 7.30
25 Bas Kuipers Bas Kuipers 1 ⚽ D 7.20
3 José Fontán José Fontán D 6.60
15 Javi Sánchez Javi Sánchez 1 👟 D 8.20
28 Tiago Esgaio Tiago Esgaio D 6.70
21 Taichi Fukui Taichi Fukui 1 ⚽ M 8.00
22 Espen Van Ee Espen Van Ee M 6.60
7 Naïs Djouahra Naïs Djouahra 89' M 6.90
10 Pablo Gozálbez Pablo Gozálbez 1 👟 89' M 7.20
19 A. Trezza A. Trezza 76' M 6.20
17 Barbero Barbero 1 ⚽ 82' F 7.30
Bench
24 Brian Mansilla Brian Mansilla 1' F
6 Diogo Monteiro Diogo Monteiro D
23 Dylan Nandín Dylan Nandín 1 👟 8' F 6.90
9 Fally Mayulu Fally Mayulu F
30 Jakub Vinarčík Jakub Vinarčík G
2 José Silva José Silva 1' D
46 Mateo Flores Mateo Flores 14' M 6.50
66 Omar Fayed Omar Fayed D
20 Yellu Santiago Yellu Santiago M
Best on the pitch
Javi Sánchez
Javi Sánchez
D · Arouca
8.20
1 👟
1 shots · 90 pass
Taichi Fukui
Taichi Fukui
M · Arouca
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots · 38 pass
Ignacio de Arruabarrena
Ignacio de Arruabarrena
G · Arouca
7.30
· 37 pass
Barbero
Barbero
F · Arouca
7.30
1 ⚽
3 shots · 17 pass
Luís Esteves
Luís Esteves
M · GIL
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 38 pass
Bas Kuipers
Bas Kuipers
D · Arouca
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 18 pass
GIL Vicente GIL Vicente — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Dani Figueira G 90 6.00 — — — 15 13% — — —
Ghislain Konan D 83 6.20 — — 1 40 34% — — —
Jonathan Buatu D 90 6.30 — — — 64 61% — — —
Marvin Elimbi Gilbert D 90 6.00 — — — 54 51% 2 — —
Zé Carlos D 90 6.00 — — — 34 24% — — —
Santi García M 64 6.50 — — — 13 12% 2 — —
Zé Carlos M 45 6.90 — — — 19 19% 2 — —
Agustín Moreira M 45 6.20 — — — 7 6% — 1 —
Luís Esteves M 90 7.30 1 — 1 38 30% 1 — —
Murilo M 90 6.90 — — 4 22 19% 1 — —
Gustavo Varela F 64 6.70 — 1 1 8 7% — — —
Carlos Eduardo F 12 6.30 — — 1 1 — 1 — —
Facundo Cáseres M 45 6.90 — — — 17 16% 2 — —
Héctor Hernández F 26 6.30 — — 1 4 2% — 1 —
Joelson Fernandes F 45 6.70 — — — 12 12% — — —
Martin Fernández M 26 6.60 — — 1 7 6% — — —
Arouca Arouca — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Ignacio de Arruabarrena G 90 7.30 — — — 37 27% — — —
Bas Kuipers D 90 7.20 1 — 1 18 14% 1 — —
José Fontán D 90 6.60 — — — 98 83% 1 1 —
Javi Sánchez D 90 8.20 — 1 1 90 82% 4 — —
Tiago Esgaio D 90 6.70 — — — 39 29% 1 — —
Taichi Fukui M 90 8.00 1 — 1 38 34% 3 — —
Espen Van Ee M 90 6.60 — — — 45 41% 2 — —
Naïs Djouahra M 89 6.90 — — 1 17 14% 1 — —
Pablo Gozálbez M 89 7.20 — 1 — 32 25% 1 — —
A. Trezza M 76 6.20 — — 3 8 4% 3 — —
Barbero F 82 7.30 1 — 3 17 14% 1 — —
Brian Mansilla F 1 — — — — — — — — —
Dylan Nandín F 8 6.90 — 1 — 5 5% 1 — —
José Silva D 1 — — — — — — — — —
Mateo Flores M 14 6.50 — — — 8 8% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of GIL Vicente vs Arouca?
The final score was GIL Vicente 1–3 Arouca.
What did the model predict before GIL Vicente vs Arouca?
The model assigned 49% probability to a GIL Vicente win, 27% to a draw, and 22% to an Arouca win.