← Primeira Liga
Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 28 April 03, 2026 18:30
GIL Vicente
#6 · 50 pts
3 – 0
Final score
AVS
#18 · 20 pts
✓Model correct — prediction GIL Vicente
G. Varela (ast. L. Esteves) 11'
Murilo de Souza 34'
G. Varela 80'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave GIL Vicente a 72% win probability (draw 18%, AVS 9%). The final result was GIL Vicente 3–0 AVS. In 1 previous meetings, GIL Vicente have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for AVS.

Match statistics
13
Total shots
3
6
Shots on target
3
1.91
Actual xG
0.42
3
Saves
3
59%
Possession
41%
3
Corners
1
10
Tackles
20
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽G. Varela · ast. L. Esteves
11'
20'
Tomané
⚽Murilo de Souza
34'
Antonio Espigares
45'+2
46'
D. Duarte / Ponck ↕
↕ G. Konan / Weverson
64'
↕ F. Caseres / Ze Carlos
64'
71'
Kiki / A. Green ↕
71'
O. Perea / D. Rivas ↕
↕ A. Moreira / J. Fernandes
76'
↕ L. Esteves / M. Fernandez
76'
⚽G. Varela
80'
82'
Nene / Tomane ↕
82'
G. Neiva / T. Akinsola ↕
Zé Carlos
87'
↕ Murilo de Souza / G. Pinto Martins
88'
Pre-match prediction
72.55%
GIL ←
18.2%
X
9.25%
AVS
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (GIL Vicente) 72.55% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
GIL
1.98
1.91
-0.07
AVS
0.40
0.42
+0.02
GIL Vicente dominated by xG (1.91 vs 0.42). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 FC Porto FC Porto 33 85
2 Sporting CP Sporting CP 33 79
3 Benfica Benfica 33 77
4 SC Braga SC Braga 33 58
5 Famalicao Famalicao 33 53
6 GIL Vicente GIL Vicente 33 50
7 Moreirense Moreirense 33 42
8 Guimaraes Guimaraes 33 42
9 Estoril Estoril 33 39
10 Arouca Arouca 33 39
11 Alverca Alverca 33 39
12 Santa Clara Santa Clara 33 36
13 Rio Ave Rio Ave 33 35
14 Nacional Nacional 33 31
15 Estrela Estrela 33 29
16 Casa Pia Casa Pia 33 29
17 Tondela Tondela 33 28
18 AVS AVS 33 20
Lineups
GIL Vicente GIL Vicente 4-2-3-1
99 Dani Figueira Dani Figueira G 6.90
3 Ghislain Konan Ghislain Konan 64' D 6.90
39 Jonathan Buatu Jonathan Buatu D 7.30
48 Antonio Espigares Antonio Espigares D 7.50
2 Zé Carlos Zé Carlos D 7.20
95 Santi García Santi García M 6.70
5 Facundo Cáseres Facundo Cáseres 64' M 7.30
27 Agustín Moreira Agustín Moreira 76' M 7.20
10 Luís Esteves Luís Esteves 1 👟 76' M 7.20
77 Murilo Murilo 1 ⚽ 88' M 7.30
89 Gustavo Varela Gustavo Varela 2 ⚽ F 8.70
Bench
29 Carlos Eduardo Carlos Eduardo F
20 Hevertton Santos Hevertton Santos D
32 Martin Fernández Martin Fernández 14' M 6.60
80
Rodrigo Rodrigues M
6 Zé Carlos Zé Carlos 26' M 6.90
AVS AVS 4-3-3
1 Adriel Adriel G 6.70
12 Daniel Rivas Daniel Rivas 71' D 6.50
3 Paulo Vitor Paulo Vitor D 6.20
33
D 6.30
97
D 6.30
23 Gustavo Mendonca Gustavo Mendonca M 6.50
26 Ponck Ponck 45' M 6.20
8 Pedro Lima Pedro Lima M 6.20
25 Andre Green Andre Green 71' F 6.90
7 Tomané Tomané 82' F 6.50
11 Tunde Akinsola Tunde Akinsola 82' F 6.30
Bench
42 Cristian Castro Cristian Castro D
20 Diego Duarte Diego Duarte 45' F 6.60
21 Guilherme Neiva Guilherme Neiva 8' F 6.90
14 Óscar Perea Óscar Perea 19' F 6.30
93 Simão Simão G
19 T. Galletto T. Galletto M
Best on the pitch
Gustavo Varela
Gustavo Varela
F · GIL
8.70
2 ⚽
4 shots · 14 pass
Antonio Espigares
Antonio Espigares
D · GIL
7.50
· 87 pass
Jonathan Buatu
Jonathan Buatu
D · GIL
7.30
1 shots · 81 pass
Facundo Cáseres
Facundo Cáseres
M · GIL
7.30
· 40 pass
Murilo
Murilo
M · GIL
7.30
1 ⚽
4 shots · 29 pass
Zé Carlos
Zé Carlos
D · GIL
7.20
· 43 pass
GIL Vicente GIL Vicente — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Dani Figueira G 90 6.90 — — — 27 23% — — —
Ghislain Konan D 64 6.90 — — 1 26 20% — — —
Jonathan Buatu D 90 7.30 — — 1 81 80% 1 — —
Antonio Espigares D 90 7.50 — — — 87 75% 1 1 —
Zé Carlos D 90 7.20 — — — 43 35% 3 — —
Santi García M 90 6.70 — — 2 35 29% — — —
Facundo Cáseres M 64 7.30 — — — 40 36% 1 — —
Agustín Moreira M 76 7.20 — — — 19 17% — — —
Luís Esteves M 76 7.20 — 1 1 43 34% 1 — —
Murilo M 88 7.30 1 — 4 29 22% — — —
Gustavo Varela F 90 8.70 2 — 4 14 13% — — —
Martin Fernández M 14 6.60 — — — 2 2% 1 — —
Zé Carlos M 26 6.90 — — — 16 14% 2 1 —
AVS AVS — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Adriel G 90 6.70 — — — 32 25% — — —
Daniel Rivas D 71 6.50 — — — 24 16% 3 — —
Paulo Vitor D 90 6.20 — — — 72 68% 2 — —
D 90 6.30 — — — 59 47% 1 — —
D 90 6.30 — — — 32 29% 4 — —
Gustavo Mendonca M 90 6.50 — — — 24 18% 4 — —
Ponck M 45 6.20 — — — 5 5% — — —
Pedro Lima M 90 6.20 — — — 28 23% 3 — —
Andre Green F 71 6.90 — — 1 11 9% — — —
Tomané F 82 6.50 — — — 17 11% 2 1 —
Tunde Akinsola F 82 6.30 — — 1 14 9% 1 — —
Diego Duarte F 45 6.60 — — 1 5 4% — — —
Guilherme Neiva F 8 6.90 — — — 2 2% — — —
Óscar Perea F 19 6.30 — — — 2 2% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of GIL Vicente vs AVS?
The final score was GIL Vicente 3–0 AVS.
What did the model predict before GIL Vicente vs AVS?
The model assigned 72% probability to a GIL Vicente win, 18% to a draw, and 9% to an AVS win.