Bundesliga
· Relegation Group - 27
April 17, 2026 21:30
R. Harakate
47'
69'
(ast. P. Pomer)
N. Havenaar
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Grazer AK a 46% win probability (draw 29%, Ried 24%). The final result was Grazer AK 1–1 Ried. In 3 previous meetings, Grazer AK have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Ried.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
14
2
Shots on target
4
0.81
Actual xG
2.17
3
Saves
1
46%
Possession
54%
4
Corners
8
11
Tackles
10
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
Beres Owusu
38'
45'+1
Oliver Steurer
45'+4
Ante Bajić
⚽R. Harakate
47'
62'
J. Nasrawe
/
J. Mayer
Thorsten Schriebl
65'
T. Schriebl
/ T. Koch
66'
69'
ast. P. Pomer ·
N. Havenaar⚽
C. Lichtenberger
/ M. Satin
76'
77'
J. Boguo
/
A. Bajic
88'
E. E. Aisowieren
/
A. van Wyk
Pre-match prediction
46.59%
Grazer
29.22%
X ←
24.19%
Ried
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
29.22%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.31
0.81
-0.5
0.85
2.17
+1.32
Ried dominated by xG (2.17 vs 0.81).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
12
F. Stolz
G
3
L. Vraa-Jensen
D
2
D. Pines
D
82
B. Owusu
D
B. Owusu
D
6
Mathias Olesen
M
32
L. Klassen
M
10
C. Lichtenberger
76'
M
20
Thorsten Schriebl
66'
M
14
J. Italiano
M
25
A. Hofleitner
F
22
R. Harakaté
1 ⚽
F
R. Harakaté
1 ⚽
F
Bench
11
M. Grosse
F
4
M. Kreuzriegler
D
7
M. Satin
14'
M
8
T. Koch
24'
M
1
A. Leitner
G
30
Oliver Steurer
D
23
D
5
N. Havenaar
1 ⚽
D
17
P. Pomer
1 👟
D
28
N. Bajlicz
M
6
Y. Maart
M
29
A. van Wyk
88'
M
26
J. Mayer
62'
M
12
A. Bajić
77'
M
A. Bajić
77'
M
7
K. Mutandwa
F
K. Mutandwa
F
Bench
47
E. E. Aisowieren
2'
M
15
J. Boguo
13'
F
19
J. Nasrawe
28'
M
8
M. Rasner
M
13
P. Kiedl
F
Best on the pitch
N. Havenaar
D · Ried
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 36 pass
R. Harakaté
F · Grazer
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 7 pass
Y. Maart
M · Ried
7.70
1 shots
· 39 pass
F. Stolz
G · Grazer
7.30
· 40 pass
N. Bajlicz
M · Ried
7.30
· 54 pass
A. Hofleitner
F · Grazer
7.30
4 shots
· 17 pass
Grazer AK — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Stolz | G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 40 | 24% | — | — | — |
| L. Vraa-Jensen | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 43 | 34% | — | — | — |
| D. Pines | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 23% | — | — | — |
| B. Owusu | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 35% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Mathias Olesen | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 21 | 19% | — | — | — |
| L. Klassen | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 21% | — | — | — |
| C. Lichtenberger | M | 76 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 18 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Thorsten Schriebl | M | 66 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 16% | 3 | 1 | — |
| J. Italiano | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Hofleitner | F | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 4 | 17 | 7% | — | — | — |
| R. Harakaté | F | 90 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 7 | 1% | — | — | — |
| M. Satin | M | 14 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Koch | M | 24 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
Ried — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Leitner | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Oliver Steurer | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 43 | 35% | 1 | 1 | — |
| D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 39 | 32% | 2 | — | — | |
| N. Havenaar | D | 90 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 36 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Pomer | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 1 | 40 | 35% | — | — | — |
| N. Bajlicz | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 54 | 47% | — | — | — |
| Y. Maart | M | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| A. van Wyk | M | 88 | 6.60 | — | — | 3 | 23 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Mayer | M | 62 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Bajić | M | 77 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 15 | 10% | 1 | 1 | — |
| K. Mutandwa | F | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 6 | 12 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| E. E. Aisowieren | M | 2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| J. Boguo | F | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| J. Nasrawe | M | 28 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Grazer AK vs Ried?
The final score was Grazer AK 1–1 Ried.
What did the model predict before Grazer AK vs Ried?
The model assigned 46% probability to a Grazer AK win, 29% to a draw, and 24% to an Ried win.