Copa Sudamericana
· Group Stage - 2
April 15, 2026 00:00
Francis Amuzu
(ast. José Enamorado)
87'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Gremio a 40% win probability (draw 40%, Deportivo Riestra 18%). The final result was Gremio 1–0 Deportivo Riestra. In 1 previous meetings, Gremio have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Deportivo Riestra.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
2
6
Shots on target
1
0.60
Actual xG
0.04
0
Saves
5
82%
Possession
18%
8
Corners
2
6
Tackles
11
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
Dodi
/ Arthur
46'
Gabriel Mec
/ José Enamorado
46'
Tetê
/ Francis Amuzu
46'
Juan Nardoni
47'
55'
Antony Alonso
/
Gonzalo Flores
Martin Braithwaite
/ Carlos Vinícius
58'
74'
Patricio Madero
/
Gabriel Obredor
74'
Rodrigo Gallo
/
Rodrigo Sayavedra
Fabian Balbuena
/ Miguel Monsalve
79'
Miguel Monsalve
82'
84'
Alejo Dramisino
/
Ángel Stringa
⚽Francis Amuzu
· ast. José Enamorado
87'
Carlos Vinícius
89'
90'+2
Alejo Dramisino
José Enamorado
90'+6
90'+7
Nicolas Watson
Pre-match prediction
40.71%
Gremio ←
40.96%
X
18.34%
Deportivo
we assigned to the actual result (Gremio)
40.71%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.77
0.60
-0.17
0.36
0.04
-0.32
Gremio dominated by xG (0.60 vs 0.04).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
G
54
Pedro Gabriel
D
Pedro Gabriel
D
44
Viery
D
Viery
D
2
Fabián Balbuena
79'
D
Fabián Balbuena
79'
D
7
Cristian Pavón
D
Cristian Pavón
D
17
Dodi
45'
M
Dodi
45'
M
19
Erick Noriega
M
Erick Noriega
M
5
J. Nardoni
47'
M
37
Gabriel Mec
45'
F
Gabriel Mec
45'
F
22
Martin Braithwaite
58'
F
Martin Braithwaite
58'
F
21
Tetê
45'
F
Tetê
45'
F
Bench
8
Arthur Melo
52'
M
38
Caio Paulista
D
Caio Paulista
D
95
Carlos Vinícius
39'
F
Carlos Vinícius
39'
F
9
F. Amuzu
1 ⚽
52'
F
F. Amuzu
1 ⚽
52'
F
99
José Enamorado
1 👟
52'
F
José Enamorado
1 👟
52'
F
33
Leonel Pérez
M
Leonel Pérez
M
14
Marcos Rocha
D
Marcos Rocha
D
11
Miguel Monsalve
18'
M
3
Wagner Leonardo
D
Wagner Leonardo
D
4
Walter Kannemann
D
Walter Kannemann
D
1
G
28
Rodrigo Sayavedra
74'
D
6
M. Barbieri
D
19
J. Randazzo
D
J. Randazzo
D
24
Facundo Miño
D
35
Ángel Stringa
84'
D
27
Jonathan Goitia
M
16
Nicolas Watson
M
14
P. Monje
M
32
G. Flores
55'
M
40
Gabriel Obredor
74'
F
Bench
7
A. Alonso
42'
F
29
Alejo Dramisino
13'
M
9
J. Herrera
F
31
Mauro Smarra
M
13
R. Gallo
23'
D
Best on the pitch
F. Amuzu
F · Gremio
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 20 pass
Viery
D · Gremio
7.30
1 shots
· 96 pass
Fabián Balbuena
D · Gremio
7.30
1 shots
· 97 pass
Erick Noriega
M · Gremio
7.30
· 98 pass
José Enamorado
F · Gremio
7.30
1 👟
· 19 pass
Arthur Melo
M · Gremio
7.20
· 49 pass
Gremio — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 18% | — | — | — | |
| Pedro Gabriel | D | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 57 | 53% | 2 | — | — |
| Viery | D | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 96 | 87% | 1 | — | — |
| Fabián Balbuena | D | 79 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 97 | 88% | — | — | — |
| Cristian Pavón | D | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 82 | 75% | — | — | — |
| Dodi | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Erick Noriega | M | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 98 | 91% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Nardoni | M | 47 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 38 | 34% | 1 | — | 1 |
| Gabriel Mec | F | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Martin Braithwaite | F | 58 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 9 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Tetê | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Arthur Melo | M | 52 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 49 | 47% | — | — | — |
| Carlos Vinícius | F | 39 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 1% | — | 1 | — |
| F. Amuzu | F | 52 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 20 | 19% | — | — | — |
| José Enamorado | F | 52 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 19 | 16% | — | 1 | — |
| Miguel Monsalve | M | 18 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | — | 1 | — |
Deportivo Riestra — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 97 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 28 | 12% | — | — | — | |
| Rodrigo Sayavedra | D | 74 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 2% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Barbieri | D | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 1% | — | — | — |
| J. Randazzo | D | 97 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Facundo Miño | D | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Ángel Stringa | D | 84 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
| Jonathan Goitia | M | 97 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Nicolas Watson | M | 97 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 19 | 11% | 2 | 1 | — |
| P. Monje | M | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 14% | — | — | — |
| G. Flores | M | 55 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 6 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Gabriel Obredor | F | 74 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 9 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Alonso | F | 42 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Alejo Dramisino | M | 13 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
| R. Gallo | D | 23 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Gremio vs Deportivo Riestra?
The final score was Gremio 1–0 Deportivo Riestra.
What did the model predict before Gremio vs Deportivo Riestra?
The model assigned 40% probability to a Gremio win, 40% to a draw, and 18% to an Deportivo Riestra win.