Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 7
March 20, 2026 00:00
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Gremio a 41% win probability (draw 29%, Vitoria 29%). The final result was Gremio 2–0 Vitoria.
Match statistics
5
Shots on target
1
1.56
Actual xG
0.59
44%
Possession
56%
4
Corners
5
Pre-match prediction
41.17%
Gremio ←
29.33%
X
29.5%
Vitoria
we assigned to the actual result (Gremio)
41.17%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.00
1.56
-0.44
1.04
0.59
-0.45
Gremio dominated by xG (1.56 vs 0.59).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Gremio vs Vitoria?
The final score was Gremio 2–0 Vitoria.
What did the model predict before Gremio vs Vitoria?
The model assigned 41% probability to a Gremio win, 29% to a draw, and 29% to an Vitoria win.