← Liga 3

Guimaraes B - Amarante

Liga 3 May 16, 2026 17:30
Guimaraes B
#1 · 29 pts
vs
Amarante
#1 · 28 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
23.48%
Win
Guimaraes B
27.63%
Draw
48.88%
Win
Amarante
0.78
Expected xG
1.43

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Amarante a 48% win probability, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Guimaraes B. Expected goals are 0.8 for Guimaraes B and 1.4 for Amarante (total 2.2), with a 67% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–1 at 15.6% probability. In 3 previous meetings, Guimaraes B have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Amarante.

Score Matrix
↕ Guimaraes B Amarante →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.9% 15.6% 11.2% 5.3% 1.9% 0.5%
1 8.6% 12.3% 8.8% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4%
2 3.4% 4.8% 3.4% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
3 0.9% 1.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2% —
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% — —
5 — — — — — —
Recent form
Guimaraes B Guimaraes B
D Trofense 1–1
L Mafra 0–2
D Varzim 2–2
D União Santarém 1–1
D CF Os Belenenses 0–0
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 36%
Amarante Amarante
W União Santarém 1–0
D Trofense 0–0
D CF Os Belenenses 2–2
W Mafra 1–4
D Academica 1–1
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 28%
Playing profile
Guimaraes B Guimaraes B
Attack
22
Defence
69
Form
44
Amarante Amarante
Attack
37
Defence
82
Form
62
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
1
Guimaraes B
0
Draw
2
Amarante
L 22 Mar 2026 Liga 3 1–2
W 29 Nov 2025 Liga 3 2–1
L 17 Aug 2025 Liga 3 2–3
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Atlético CP Atlético CP 10 26
1 Guimaraes B Guimaraes B 18 29
1 Amarante Amarante 13 28
1 São João Ver São João Ver 10 21
1 CF Os Belenenses CF Os Belenenses 18 38
2 Amarante Amarante 18 29
2 Academica Academica 13 25
2 Fafe Fafe 10 21
2 Mafra Mafra 18 34
2 Lusitano Évora 1911 Lusitano Évora 1911 10 24
3 Trofense Trofense 18 28
3 CF Os Belenenses CF Os Belenenses 13 23
3 Paredes Paredes 10 21
3 Academica Academica 18 28
3 Caldas Caldas 10 19
4 SC Covilha SC Covilha 10 18
4 União Santarém União Santarém 18 25
4 Guimaraes B Guimaraes B 13 17
4 AD Marco 09 AD Marco 09 10 18
4 Varzim Varzim 18 28
5 Mafra Mafra 13 17
5 Paredes Paredes 18 27
5 SC Braga B SC Braga B 10 17
5 Lusitano Évora 1911 Lusitano Évora 1911 18 22
5 1º Dezembro 1º Dezembro 10 16
6 Atlético CP Atlético CP 18 22
6 Amora Amora 10 13
6 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 10 11
6 Varzim Varzim 13 13
6 SC Braga B SC Braga B 18 25
7 Trofense Trofense 13 10
7 Amora Amora 18 21
7 Fafe Fafe 18 24
8 AD Marco 09 AD Marco 09 18 19
8 Caldas Caldas 18 21
8 União Santarém União Santarém 13 9
9 São João Ver São João Ver 18 14
9 1º Dezembro 1º Dezembro 18 17
10 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 18 13
10 SC Covilha SC Covilha 18 14
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Guimaraes B vs Amarante?
The model gives Guimaraes B a 23% win probability, 27% for a draw, and 48% for an Amarante win.
How many goals are expected in Guimaraes B vs Amarante?
Expected goals: Guimaraes B 0.8, Amarante 1.4 (total 2.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 67%.
What is the most likely score in Guimaraes B vs Amarante?
0–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 15.6%.