Scottish Premiership · 1st Phase - 31 March 21, 2026 17:00

Heart Of Midlothian

#1 · 70 pts

1 – 0

Final score

Dundee

#3 · 39 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Heart Of Midlothian

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Heart Of Midlothian a 60% win probability (draw 23%, Dundee 16%). The final result was Heart Of Midlothian 1–0 Dundee. In 2 previous meetings, Heart Of Midlothian have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Dundee.

Match statistics

6

Shots on target

1

1.09

Actual xG

0.57

57%

Possession

43%

4

Corners

7

Pre-match prediction

60.67%

Heart ←

23.08%

X

16.26%

Dundee

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Heart Of Midlothian) 60.67% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Heart

1.95

1.09

-0.86

Dundee

1.09

0.57

-0.52

Heart Of Midlothian dominated by xG (1.09 vs 0.57). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Heart Of Midlothian	33	70
1	Heart Of Midlothian	37	80
1	Dundee Utd	37	44
2	Rangers	33	69
2	Celtic	37	79
2	Aberdeen	37	40
3	Dundee	37	39
3	Celtic	33	67
3	Rangers	37	69
4	Motherwell	37	58
4	Kilmarnock	37	37
4	Motherwell	33	54
5	ST Mirren	37	33
5	Hibernian	33	51
5	Hibernian	37	57
6	Livingston	37	21
6	Falkirk	33	46
6	Falkirk	37	49
7	Dundee Utd	33	40
8	Aberdeen	33	33
9	Dundee	33	33
10	ST Mirren	33	30
11	Kilmarnock	33	28
12	Livingston	33	16