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Hegelmann Litauen - Suduva Marijampole

A Lyga May 16, 2026 16:00
#8 · 9 pts
vs
#4 · 16 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
24.75%
Win
Hegelmann Litauen
28.93%
Draw
46.32%
Win
Suduva Marijampole
1.18
Expected xG
1.86

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Suduva Marijampole a 46% win probability, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Hegelmann Litauen. Expected goals are 1.2 for Hegelmann Litauen and 1.9 for Suduva Marijampole (total 3.0), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.5% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Hegelmann Litauen have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Suduva Marijampole.

Score Matrix
↕ Hegelmann Litauen Suduva Marijampole →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.8% 8.9% 8.3% 5.1% 2.4% 0.9%
1 5.7% 10.5% 9.8% 6.0% 2.8% 1.0%
2 3.3% 6.2% 5.8% 3.6% 1.7% 0.6%
3 1.3% 2.4% 2.3% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2%
4 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Recent form
D Šiauliai 1–1
W Panevėžys 3–2
L Džiugas Telšiai 3–0
L Banga 2–1
D FK Trakai 0–0
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 26%
D FK Zalgiris Vilnius 1–1
D TransINVEST Vilnius 1–1
L Šiauliai 2–1
W Panevėžys 1–0
W Džiugas Telšiai 3–2
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 22%
Playing profile
Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen
Attack
26
Defence
58
Form
41
Suduva Marijampole Suduva Marijampole
Attack
40
Defence
72
Form
50
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
Hegelmann Litauen
1
Draw
0
Suduva Marijampole
D 14 Mar 2026 A Lyga 0–0
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Kauno Žalgiris Kauno Žalgiris 10 25
2 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius 10 17
3 Džiugas Telšiai Džiugas Telšiai 10 17
4 Suduva Marijampole Suduva Marijampole 10 16
5 FK Zalgiris Vilnius FK Zalgiris Vilnius 10 15
6 Banga Banga 10 14
7 Panevėžys Panevėžys 10 11
8 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 10 9
9 Šiauliai Šiauliai 10 8
10 FK Trakai FK Trakai 10 3
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Hegelmann Litauen vs Suduva Marijampole?
The model gives Hegelmann Litauen a 24% win probability, 28% for a draw, and 46% for an Suduva Marijampole win.
How many goals are expected in Hegelmann Litauen vs Suduva Marijampole?
Expected goals: Hegelmann Litauen 1.2, Suduva Marijampole 1.9 (total 3.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Hegelmann Litauen vs Suduva Marijampole?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.5%.