Scottish Premiership · 1st Phase - 32 April 04, 2026 18:00

Hibernian

#5 · 51 pts

3 – 0

Final score

Kilmarnock

#4 · 37 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Hibernian

O. Elding (ast. F. Passlack) 1'

F. Passlack (ast. J. Obita) 12'

A. Suto (ast. M. Boyle) 90'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Hibernian a 59% win probability (draw 24%, Kilmarnock 15%). The final result was Hibernian 3–0 Kilmarnock. In 2 previous meetings, Hibernian have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Kilmarnock.

Match statistics

4

Total shots

5

3

Shots on target

2

2.14

Actual xG

0.56

2

Saves

0

52%

Possession

48%

3

Corners

9

8

Tackles

10

1

🟨 Yellow cards

3

Match Events

⚽O. Elding · ast. F. Passlack

1'

⚽F. Passlack · ast. J. Obita

12'

18'

George Stanger

28'

39'

Findlay Curtis

Daniel Barlaser

54'

62'

M. Watkins / L. Polworth ↕

62'

D. Watson / B. Lyons ↕

↕ D. Barlaser / J. Newell

64'

↕ D. Scarlett / A. Suto

64'

65'

Aaron Tshibola

71'

D. Thompson / J. Brandon ↕

↕ M. Chaiwa / K. Andrews

73'

81'

B. Anderson / A. Tshibola ↕

81'

J. Thomson / F. Curtis ↕

↕ O. Elding / J. Campbell

88'

↕ J. McGrath / M. Boyle

88'

⚽A. Suto · ast. M. Boyle

90'

Pre-match prediction

59.39%

Hibernian ←

24.69%

X

15.92%

Kilmarnock

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Hibernian) 59.39% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Hibernian

1.75

2.14

+0.39

Kilmarnock

0.88

0.56

-0.32

Hibernian dominated by xG (2.14 vs 0.56). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Heart Of Midlothian	33	70
1	Heart Of Midlothian	37	80
1	Dundee Utd	37	44
2	Rangers	33	69
2	Celtic	37	79
2	Aberdeen	37	40
3	Dundee	37	39
3	Celtic	33	67
3	Rangers	37	69
4	Motherwell	37	58
4	Kilmarnock	37	37
4	Motherwell	33	54
5	ST Mirren	37	33
5	Hibernian	33	51
5	Hibernian	37	57
6	Livingston	37	21
6	Falkirk	33	46
6	Falkirk	37	49
7	Dundee Utd	33	40
8	Aberdeen	33	33
9	Dundee	33	33
10	ST Mirren	33	30
11	Kilmarnock	33	28
12	Livingston	33	16

Lineups

Hibernian 3-4-1-2

1 Raphael Sallinger G 7.20

15 Jack Iredale D 7.90

4 Grant Hanley D 7.50

5 Warren O'Hora D 7.50

21 Jordan Obita 1 👟 M 8.30

22 Daniel Barlaser 64' M 6.50

14 Miguel Changa Chaiwa 73' M 6.90

25 Felix Passlack 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 8.30

17 J. McGrath 88' F 6.20

44 Dane Scarlett 64' F 6.30

47 Owen Elding 1 ⚽ 88' F 7.60

Bench

77 Ante Šuto 1 ⚽ 26' F 7.20

11 Joe Newell 26' M 6.90

32 Josh Campbell 2' M

10 Martin Boyle 1 👟 2' F

Kilmarnock 4-2-3-1

13

G 6.50

21 Michael Schjønning-Larsen D 6.20

6 Robbie Deas D 6.20

14 George Stanger D 6.20

2

J. Brandon 71' D 6.30

31 Liam Polworth 62' M 6.70

36 Aaron Tshibola 81' M 7.00

52 Findlay Curtis 81' M 6.60

11 Greg Kiltie M 6.70

8 B. Lyons 62' M 5.90

44 Joe Hugill F 5.90

Bench

19 Bruce Anderson 9' F 6.30

18 Tom Lowery M

Best on the pitch

Jordan Obita

M · Hibernian

8.30

1 👟

· 33 pass

Felix Passlack

M · Hibernian

8.30

1 ⚽ 1 👟

1 shots · 43 pass

Jack Iredale

D · Hibernian

7.90

· 59 pass

Owen Elding

F · Hibernian

7.60

1 ⚽

1 shots · 26 pass

Grant Hanley

D · Hibernian

7.50

· 60 pass

Warren O'Hora

D · Hibernian

7.50

· 65 pass

Hibernian — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Raphael Sallinger	G	90	7.20	—	—	—	53	38%	—	—	—
Jack Iredale	D	90	7.90	—	—	—	59	48%	2	—	—
Grant Hanley	D	90	7.50	—	—	—	60	55%	1	—	—
Warren O'Hora	D	90	7.50	—	—	—	65	58%	—	—	—
Jordan Obita	M	90	8.30	—	1	—	33	29%	—	—	—
Daniel Barlaser	M	64	6.50	—	—	—	36	25%	—	1	—
Miguel Changa Chaiwa	M	73	6.90	—	—	—	26	23%	1	—	—
Felix Passlack	M	90	8.30	1	1	1	43	33%	2	—	—
J. McGrath	F	88	6.20	—	—	1	29	25%	1	—	—
Dane Scarlett	F	64	6.30	—	—	—	11	7%	—	—	—
Owen Elding	F	88	7.60	1	—	1	26	18%	—	—	—
Ante Šuto	F	26	7.20	1	—	1	9	5%	—	—	—
Joe Newell	M	26	6.90	—	—	—	14	13%	1	—	—
Josh Campbell	M	2	—	—	—	—	2	1%	—	—	—
Martin Boyle	F	2	—	—	1	—	2	2%	—	—	—

Kilmarnock — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	6.50	—	—	—	18	16%	—	—	—
Michael Schjønning-Larsen	D	90	6.20	—	—	—	46	40%	2	—	—
Robbie Deas	D	90	6.20	—	—	—	71	57%	—	—	—
George Stanger	D	90	6.20	—	—	—	26	23%	1	1	—
J. Brandon	D	71	6.30	—	—	—	31	28%	1	—	—
Liam Polworth	M	62	6.70	—	—	—	48	38%	1	—	—
Aaron Tshibola	M	81	7.00	—	—	—	50	49%	3	1	—
Findlay Curtis	M	81	6.60	—	—	1	27	15%	2	1	—
Greg Kiltie	M	90	6.70	—	—	2	23	22%	—	—	—
B. Lyons	M	62	5.90	—	—	1	20	14%	—	—	—
Joe Hugill	F	90	5.90	—	—	1	13	9%	—	—	—
Bruce Anderson	F	9	6.30	—	—	—	1	1%	—	—	—