US Open Cup
· Round of 16
April 30, 2026 02:00
E. Sviatchenko
(ast. H. Herrera)
89'
E. Ponce
(ast. H. Herrera)
101'
67'
(ast. C. Donovan)
R. Serrano
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Houston Dynamo a 38% win probability (draw 29%, Louisville City 31%). The final result was Houston Dynamo 2–1 Louisville City.
Match statistics
Match Events
⚽J. McGlynn
(missed pen.)
9'
40'
B. Dayes
J. McGlynn
/ L. Ennali
46'
58'
S. Gleadle
/
C. Moguel
M. Bogusz
/ E. Ponce
59'
D. Samassekou
/ Artur
59'
66'
R. Serrano
/
J. Wilson
66'
C. Donovan
/
T. Showunmi
67'
ast. C. Donovan ·
R. Serrano⚽
A. Bouzat
/ H. Herrera
69'
75'
M. Akale
/
E. Davila
75'
J. Jones
/
E. Perez
O. Lingr
78'
F. Negri
/ Felipe Andrade
81'
86'
C. Duke
/
Z. Duncan
⚽E. Sviatchenko
· ast. H. Herrera
89'
E. Sviatchenko
/ A. Resch
90'
⚽E. Ponce
· ast. H. Herrera
101'
E. Ponce
112'
117'
C. Duke
120'+1
R. Serrano
Pre-match prediction
38.74%
Houston ←
29.55%
X
31.71%
Louisville
we assigned to the actual result (Houston Dynamo)
38.74%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.64
—
—
1.36
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Houston Dynamo vs Louisville City?
The final score was Houston Dynamo 2–1 Louisville City.
What did the model predict before Houston Dynamo vs Louisville City?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Houston Dynamo win, 29% to a draw, and 31% to an Louisville City win.