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Illertissen - Schwaben Augsburg

Regionalliga - Bayern May 16, 2026 14:00
Illertissen
#4 · 61 pts
vs
Schwaben Augsburg
#15 · 34 pts
Weather at kick-off 🌧️ Light showers 11.1°C 💨 5 km/h 🌧️ 80% · Illertissen
⚡ Pre-match analysis
74.62%
Win
Illertissen
13.28%
Draw
12.1%
Win
Schwaben Augsburg
3.01
Expected xG
0.97
Model prediction
Illertissen
74.62%
Probability
50.0%
1X2 accuracy · 16 predictions (3 months)

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Illertissen a 74% win probability, against 13% for a draw and 12% for Schwaben Augsburg. Expected goals are 3.0 for Illertissen and 1.0 for Schwaben Augsburg (total 4.0), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–0 at 8.5% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Illertissen have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Schwaben Augsburg.

Score Matrix
↕ Illertissen Schwaben Augsburg →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.9% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% —
1 5.7% 5.5% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2% —
2 8.5% 8.2% 4.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 8.5% 8.2% 4.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
4 6.4% 6.2% 3.0% 1.0% 0.2% —
5 3.9% 3.7% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% —
Recent form
Illertissen Illertissen
W Hankofen-Hailing 1–5
W Bayern München II 4–0
L Eichstätt 2–0
L Viktoria Aschaffenburg 0–2
W Buchbach 0–3
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 36%
Schwaben Augsburg Schwaben Augsburg
W Aubstadt 3–1
L Vilzing 1–0
W Memmingen 0–1
L Ansbach 1–3
L Augsburg II 2–1
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 33%
Playing profile
Illertissen Illertissen
Attack
45
Defence
81
Form
63
Schwaben Augsburg Schwaben Augsburg
Attack
26
Defence
66
Form
44
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
Illertissen
1
Draw
0
Schwaben Augsburg
D 8 Nov 2025 Regionalliga - Bayern 2–2
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II 33 76
2 Würzburger Kickers Würzburger Kickers 33 72
3 SpVgg Unterhaching SpVgg Unterhaching 33 67
4 Illertissen Illertissen 33 61
5 Eichstätt Eichstätt 33 48
6 Vilzing Vilzing 33 48
7 Wacker Burghausen Wacker Burghausen 33 47
8 Aubstadt Aubstadt 33 46
9 Ansbach Ansbach 33 46
10 Bayern München II Bayern München II 33 44
11 Buchbach Buchbach 33 43
12 Memmingen Memmingen 33 39
13 Bayreuth Bayreuth 33 38
14 Augsburg II Augsburg II 33 34
15 Schwaben Augsburg Schwaben Augsburg 33 34
16 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II 33 28
17 Viktoria Aschaffenburg Viktoria Aschaffenburg 33 26
18 Hankofen-Hailing Hankofen-Hailing 33 22
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Illertissen vs Schwaben Augsburg?
The model gives Illertissen a 74% win probability, 13% for a draw, and 12% for an Schwaben Augsburg win.
How many goals are expected in Illertissen vs Schwaben Augsburg?
Expected goals: Illertissen 3.0, Schwaben Augsburg 1.0 (total 4.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in Illertissen vs Schwaben Augsburg?
2–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.5%.