MLS
· Regular Season - 10
April 26, 2026 03:30
✗Model wrong — prediction Inter Miami, result Pareggio
G. Berterame
76'
56'
(ast. D. Turgeman)
C. Gil
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Inter Miami a 55% win probability (draw 23%, New England Revolution 21%). The final result was Inter Miami 1–1 New England Revolution.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
11
10
Shots on target
7
3.00
Actual xG
1.54
6
Saves
9
68%
Possession
32%
7
Corners
1
13
Tackles
10
3
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
46'
L. Langoni
/
I. Feingold
N. Allen
/ T. Allende
46'
56'
ast. D. Turgeman ·
C. Gil⚽
T. Allende
59'
D. Ruiz
67'
D. Ruiz
/ P. Plambeck
70'
G. Lujan
/ I. Fray
70'
71'
J. Yueill
/
G. Yow
⚽G. Berterame
76'
F. Mura
/ C. Abadia-Reda
76'
86'
T. Beason
/
D. Turgeman
89'
D. Fagundez
/
A. Yusuf
Micael
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
55.04%
Inter
23.01%
X ←
21.96%
New
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
23.01%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.93
3.00
+0.07
1.13
1.54
+0.41
Inter Miami dominated by xG (3.00 vs 1.54).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
97
Dayne St. Clair
G
Dayne St. Clair
G
16
Micael
D
Micael
D
37
Maximiliano Falcón
D
Maximiliano Falcón
D
2
Gonzalo Luján
69'
D
Gonzalo Luján
69'
D
32
N. Allen
45'
M
41
David Ruíz
69'
M
David Ruíz
69'
M
7
Rodrigo De Paul
M
Rodrigo De Paul
M
4
Facundo Mura
76'
M
Facundo Mura
76'
M
19
G. Berterame
1 ⚽
F
G. Berterame
1 ⚽
F
9
Luis Suárez
F
Luis Suárez
F
10
Lionel Messi
F
Lionel Messi
F
Bench
56
Daniel Pinter
F
Daniel Pinter
F
17
Ian Fray
21'
D
Ian Fray
21'
D
21
T. Allende
45'
F
30
Matt Turner
G
Matt Turner
G
23
William Sands
D
William Sands
D
2
Mamadou Fofana
D
Mamadou Fofana
D
22
Ethan Kohler
D
Ethan Kohler
D
12
I. Feingold
45'
D
80
Alhassan Yusuf
89'
M
Alhassan Yusuf
89'
M
21
Brooklyn Raines
M
Brooklyn Raines
M
10
Carles Gil
1 ⚽
M
Carles Gil
1 ⚽
M
25
Peyton Miller
F
Peyton Miller
F
11
Dor Turgeman
1 👟
86'
F
Dor Turgeman
1 👟
86'
F
7
Griffin Yow
71'
F
Griffin Yow
71'
F
Bench
88
Andrew Farrell
D
Andrew Farrell
D
35
C. Oliveira
M
77
Diego Fagúndez
1'
M
Diego Fagúndez
1'
M
14
Jackson Yueill
19'
M
Jackson Yueill
19'
M
41
Luca Langoni
45'
F
Luca Langoni
45'
F
17
Marcos Zambrano
F
Marcos Zambrano
F
4
Tanner Beason
10'
D
Tanner Beason
10'
D
Best on the pitch
Matt Turner
G · New
9.20
· 29 pass
Carles Gil
M · New
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 58 pass
Rodrigo De Paul
M · Inter
8.20
· 132 pass
Lionel Messi
F · Inter
8.20
5 shots
· 81 pass
G. Berterame
F · Inter
7.50
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 21 pass
Dayne St. Clair
G · Inter
7.30
· 17 pass
Inter Miami — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dayne St. Clair | G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Micael | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 98 | 95% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Maximiliano Falcón | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 68 | 65% | 1 | — | — |
| Gonzalo Luján | D | 69 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 54 | 51% | 3 | — | — |
| N. Allen | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 36 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| David Ruíz | M | 69 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 49 | 44% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Rodrigo De Paul | M | 90 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 132 | 117% | — | — | — |
| Facundo Mura | M | 76 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Berterame | F | 90 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 3 | 21 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| Luis Suárez | F | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 42 | 39% | — | — | — |
| Lionel Messi | F | 90 | 8.20 | — | — | 5 | 81 | 67% | — | — | — |
| Ian Fray | D | 21 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 17% | — | — | — |
| T. Allende | F | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
New England Revolution — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Turner | G | 90 | 9.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 12% | — | — | — |
| William Sands | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 31 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Mamadou Fofana | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Ethan Kohler | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 27% | — | — | — |
| I. Feingold | D | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Alhassan Yusuf | M | 89 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 46 | 43% | 4 | — | — |
| Brooklyn Raines | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| Carles Gil | M | 90 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 58 | 51% | 1 | — | — |
| Peyton Miller | F | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 22 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Dor Turgeman | F | 86 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 4 | 19 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Griffin Yow | F | 71 | 6.70 | — | — | 3 | 17 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Diego Fagúndez | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Jackson Yueill | M | 19 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Luca Langoni | F | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Tanner Beason | D | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Inter Miami vs New England Revolution?
The final score was Inter Miami 1–1 New England Revolution.
What did the model predict before Inter Miami vs New England Revolution?
The model assigned 55% probability to a Inter Miami win, 23% to a draw, and 21% to an New England Revolution win.