World Cup - Qual. Europe
· Semi-finals
March 26, 2026 20:45
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Italy a 33% win probability (draw 33%, Northern Ireland 33%). The final result was Italy 2–0 Northern Ireland.
Match statistics
8
Shots on target
1
63%
Possession
37%
12
Corners
3
Pre-match prediction
33.33%
Italy ←
33.33%
X
33.33%
Northern
we assigned to the actual result (Italy)
33.33%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.14
—
—
0.79
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Italy vs Northern Ireland?
The final score was Italy 2–0 Northern Ireland.
What did the model predict before Italy vs Northern Ireland?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Italy win, 33% to a draw, and 33% to an Northern Ireland win.