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Juan Pablo II College - Alianza Atletico

Liga 1 May 16, 2026 22:15
Juan Pablo II College
#15 · 15 pts
vs
Alianza Atletico
#9 · 17 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
28.78%
Win
Juan Pablo II College
24.4%
Draw
46.82%
Win
Alianza Atletico
1.09
Expected xG
1.66

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Alianza Atletico a 46% win probability, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Juan Pablo II College. Expected goals are 1.1 for Juan Pablo II College and 1.7 for Alianza Atletico (total 2.7), with a 72% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.6% probability.

Score Matrix
↕ Juan Pablo II College Alianza Atletico →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.4% 10.6% 8.8% 4.9% 2.0% 0.7%
1 7.0% 11.6% 9.6% 5.3% 2.2% 0.7%
2 3.8% 6.3% 5.2% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4%
3 1.4% 2.3% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% —
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% — —
Recent form
Juan Pablo II College Juan Pablo II College
L Sport Huancayo 2–1
L Universitario 1–4
D Sport Boys 1–1
D Comerciantes Unidos 2–2
L UCV Moquegua 3–0
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 12%
Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico
L Deportivo Garcilaso 2–1
W Sport Huancayo 4–1
W Universitario 1–2
L Comerciantes Unidos 1–0
L Sport Boys 0–1
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 12%
Playing profile
Juan Pablo II College Juan Pablo II College
Attack
28
Defence
47
Form
31
Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico
Attack
45
Defence
69
Form
49
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima 14 33
2 Club Deportivo Los Chankas Club Deportivo Los Chankas 14 30
3 Cienciano Cienciano 14 29
4 Universitario Universitario 14 25
5 FBC Melgar FBC Melgar 14 21
6 Cusco Cusco 14 21
7 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 14 20
8 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso 14 19
9 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 14 17
10 ADT ADT 14 17
11 UCV Moquegua UCV Moquegua 14 17
12 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 14 16
13 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 14 16
14 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 14 15
15 Juan Pablo II College Juan Pablo II College 14 15
16 Sport Boys Sport Boys 14 13
17 FC Cajamarca FC Cajamarca 14 12
18 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 14 10
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Juan Pablo II College vs Alianza Atletico?
The model gives Juan Pablo II College a 28% win probability, 24% for a draw, and 46% for an Alianza Atletico win.
How many goals are expected in Juan Pablo II College vs Alianza Atletico?
Expected goals: Juan Pablo II College 1.1, Alianza Atletico 1.7 (total 2.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 72%.
What is the most likely score in Juan Pablo II College vs Alianza Atletico?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.6%.