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Karviná - Sigma Olomouc

Czech Liga May 16, 2026 17:00
#9 · 39 pts
vs
#7 · 43 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
35.67%
Win
Karviná
22.3%
Draw
42.03%
Win
Sigma Olomouc
1.73
Expected xG
1.95

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Sigma Olomouc a 42% win probability, against 22% for a draw and 35% for Karviná. Expected goals are 1.7 for Karviná and 1.9 for Sigma Olomouc (total 3.7), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 8.5% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Karviná have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Sigma Olomouc.

Score Matrix
↕ Karviná Sigma Olomouc →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.5% 4.9% 4.8% 3.1% 1.5% 0.6%
1 4.4% 8.5% 8.3% 5.4% 2.6% 1.0%
2 3.8% 7.4% 7.2% 4.7% 2.3% 0.9%
3 2.2% 4.2% 4.1% 2.7% 1.3% 0.5%
4 0.9% 1.8% 1.8% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2%
5 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
Recent form
W Pardubice 1–3
L Pardubice 1–2
L Mlada Boleslav 0–3
W Dukla Praha 1–2
W Slovan Liberec 3–1
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 12%
L Bohemians 1905 1–2
W Bohemians 1905 1–3
L Slavia Praha 2–1
W Slovácko 2–1
L Pardubice 2–1
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 12%
Playing profile
Karviná Karviná
Attack
41
Defence
52
Form
47
Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc
Attack
53
Defence
53
Form
50
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Zlin Zlin 33 38
1 Slavia Praha Slavia Praha 33 77
1 Slavia Praha Slavia Praha 30 71
2 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 33 70
2 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 33 37
2 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 30 63
3 Plzen Plzen 33 60
3 Teplice Teplice 33 36
3 Plzen Plzen 30 53
4 Slovácko Slovácko 33 30
4 Hradec Králové Hradec Králové 33 53
4 FK Jablonec FK Jablonec 30 51
5 FK Jablonec FK Jablonec 33 52
5 Dukla Praha Dukla Praha 33 26
5 Hradec Králové Hradec Králové 30 49
6 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 30 46
6 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 33 46
6 Baník Ostrava Baník Ostrava 33 23
7 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 30 43
8 Pardubice Pardubice 30 41
9 Karviná Karviná 30 39
10 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 30 36
11 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 30 35
12 Zlin Zlin 30 34
13 Teplice Teplice 30 29
14 Dukla Praha Dukla Praha 30 23
15 Slovácko Slovácko 30 23
16 Baník Ostrava Baník Ostrava 30 22
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Karviná vs Sigma Olomouc?
The model gives Karviná a 35% win probability, 22% for a draw, and 42% for an Sigma Olomouc win.
How many goals are expected in Karviná vs Sigma Olomouc?
Expected goals: Karviná 1.7, Sigma Olomouc 1.9 (total 3.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Karviná vs Sigma Olomouc?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.5%.