Süper Lig
· Regular Season - 32
May 03, 2026 19:00
A. Benedyczak
(ast. M. Ben Ouanes)
2'
23'
(ast. S. Dursun)
D. Agyei
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Kasımpaşa a 39% win probability (draw 33%, Kocaelispor 27%). The final result was Kasımpaşa 1–1 Kocaelispor. In 1 previous meetings, Kasımpaşa have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Kocaelispor.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
5
4
Shots on target
1
0.85
Actual xG
0.64
0
Saves
3
60%
Possession
40%
5
Corners
5
13
Tackles
9
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽A. Benedyczak
· ast. M. Ben Ouanes
2'
23'
ast. S. Dursun ·
D. Agyei⚽
56'
T. Bingol
/
J. Nonge
59'
A. Oguz
63'
R. Rivas
/
A. Oguz
89'
F. Gedik
/
D. Agyei
C. Winck
/ G. Frimpong
90'
Pre-match prediction
39.24%
Kasımpaşa
33.08%
X ←
27.68%
Kocaelispor
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
33.08%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.91
0.85
-0.06
0.73
0.64
-0.09
xG dominance was balanced (0.85 – 0.64).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
A. Gianniotis
G
22
K. Corekci
D
4
A. Arous
D
20
D
2
Cláudio Winck
D
26
K. Demirbay
M
8
Cafu
M
12
M. Ben Ouanes
1 👟
M
34
F. Diabate
M
71
I. C. Kahveci
M
19
A. Benedyczak
1 ⚽
F
A. Benedyczak
1 ⚽
F
Bench
23
C. Tosun
F
21
G. Frimpong
1'
D
83
G
21
M. Haidara
D
14
Show
D
2
D
22
A. Oguz
63'
D
98
J. Nonge
57'
M
8
H. Keita
M
20
Mahamadou Susoho Sissoho
M
Mahamadou Susoho Sissoho
M
7
D. Agyei
1 ⚽
89'
F
19
S. Dursun
1 👟
F
70
C. Keles
F
Bench
10
K. Linetty
M
3
M. Cinan
D
99
R. Rivas
28'
F
75
T. Bingol
34'
D
Best on the pitch
D. Agyei
F · Kocaelispor
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 11 pass
I. C. Kahveci
M · Kasımpaşa
7.30
4 shots
· 39 pass
M. Ben Ouanes
M · Kasımpaşa
7.20
1 👟
· 27 pass
A. Benedyczak
F · Kasımpaşa
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 13 pass
G · Kocaelispor
7.20
· 23 pass
K. Demirbay
M · Kasımpaşa
7.00
1 shots
· 45 pass
Kasımpaşa — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Gianniotis | G | 91 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 25 | 22% | — | — | — |
| K. Corekci | D | 91 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 50 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Arous | D | 91 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 61 | 54% | 2 | — | — |
| D | 91 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 69 | 63% | — | — | — | |
| Cláudio Winck | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 25 | 18% | 6 | — | — |
| K. Demirbay | M | 91 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| Cafu | M | 91 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 44 | 42% | — | — | — |
| M. Ben Ouanes | M | 91 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 27 | 19% | — | — | — |
| F. Diabate | M | 91 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 20 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| I. C. Kahveci | M | 91 | 7.30 | — | — | 4 | 39 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Benedyczak | F | 91 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 13 | 7% | — | — | — |
| G. Frimpong | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Kocaelispor — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 91 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 15% | — | — | — | |
| M. Haidara | D | 91 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Show | D | 91 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 35 | 32% | — | — | — |
| D | 91 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 37 | 31% | — | — | — | |
| A. Oguz | D | 63 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 29 | 24% | 2 | 1 | — |
| J. Nonge | M | 57 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Keita | M | 91 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Mahamadou Susoho Sissoho | M | 91 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Agyei | F | 89 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
| S. Dursun | F | 91 | 6.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 11 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Keles | F | 91 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 17% | — | — | — |
| R. Rivas | F | 28 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| T. Bingol | D | 34 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Kasımpaşa vs Kocaelispor?
The final score was Kasımpaşa 1–1 Kocaelispor.
What did the model predict before Kasımpaşa vs Kocaelispor?
The model assigned 39% probability to a Kasımpaşa win, 33% to a draw, and 27% to an Kocaelispor win.