← Ligue Professionnelle 1

Khenchela - USM Alger

Ligue Professionnelle 1 April 28, 2026 15:00
Khenchela
#9 · 37 pts
vs
USM Alger
#11 · 30 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
57.69%
Win
Khenchela
27.89%
Draw
14.42%
Win
USM Alger
1.37
Expected xG
0.44
Model prediction
Khenchela
57.69%
Probability
71.4%
1X2 accuracy · 7 predictions (3 months)

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Khenchela a 57% win probability, against 27% for a draw and 14% for USM Alger. Expected goals are 1.4 for Khenchela and 0.4 for USM Alger (total 1.8), with a 60% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 22.3% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Khenchela have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for USM Alger.

Score Matrix
↕ Khenchela USM Alger →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 16.3% 7.3% 1.6% 0.2% — —
1 22.3% 9.9% 2.2% 0.3% — —
2 15.3% 6.8% 1.5% 0.2% — —
3 7.0% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% — —
4 2.4% 1.1% 0.2% — — —
5 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% — — —
Recent form
Khenchela Khenchela
W El Bayadh 2–1
L CR Belouizdad 3–1
L JS Saoura 3–0
W Mostaganem 0–3
W Paradou AC 1–0
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 26%
USM Alger USM Alger
D Mostaganem 1–1
L ASO Chlef 2–1
L MC Alger 1–0
L JS Kabylie 0–1
W ES Setif 2–0
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 28%
Playing profile
Khenchela Khenchela
Attack
34
Defence
62
Form
46
USM Alger USM Alger
Attack
16
Defence
78
Form
39
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
Khenchela
1
Draw
0
USM Alger
D 13 Sep 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1 1–1
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 MC Alger MC Alger 28 62
2 JS Saoura JS Saoura 28 51
3 MC Oran MC Oran 28 48
4 CR Belouizdad CR Belouizdad 25 45
5 Olympique Akbou Olympique Akbou 28 44
6 CS Constantine CS Constantine 28 42
7 JS Kabylie JS Kabylie 28 41
8 Ben Aknoun Ben Aknoun 26 38
9 Khenchela Khenchela 27 37
10 ASO Chlef ASO Chlef 28 34
11 USM Alger USM Alger 23 30
12 MB Rouisset MB Rouisset 27 30
13 ES Setif ES Setif 27 30
14 Paradou AC Paradou AC 27 24
15 Mostaganem Mostaganem 28 18
16 El Bayadh El Bayadh 28 15
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Khenchela vs USM Alger?
The model gives Khenchela a 57% win probability, 27% for a draw, and 14% for an USM Alger win.
How many goals are expected in Khenchela vs USM Alger?
Expected goals: Khenchela 1.4, USM Alger 0.4 (total 1.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 60%.
What is the most likely score in Khenchela vs USM Alger?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 22.3%.