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Laagri - Vaprus

Meistriliiga May 16, 2026 16:00
Laagri
#5 · 16 pts
vs
Vaprus
#8 · 13 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
42.15%
Win
Laagri
28.98%
Draw
28.88%
Win
Vaprus
1.34
Expected xG
0.96

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Laagri a 42% win probability, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Vaprus. Expected goals are 1.3 for Laagri and 1.0 for Vaprus (total 2.3), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 13.4% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Laagri have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Vaprus.

Score Matrix
↕ Laagri Vaprus →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.0% 9.6% 4.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 13.4% 12.9% 6.2% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.0% 8.6% 4.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 4.0% 3.9% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% —
4 1.4% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% — —
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% — —
Recent form
Laagri Laagri
L FC Levadia Tallinn 3–0
L Flora Tallinn 5–0
W Tammeka 1–0
D Paide 2–2
W Nõmme United 1–2
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 33%
Vaprus Vaprus
W Trans Narva 2–0
L Nõmme United 2–3
W Kalju Nomme 1–2
W Kuressaare 0–1
D Tammeka 0–0
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 22%
Playing profile
Laagri Laagri
Attack
27
Defence
52
Form
43
Vaprus Vaprus
Attack
26
Defence
69
Form
45
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
1
Laagri
0
Draw
0
Vaprus
W 4 Apr 2026 Meistriliiga 2–0
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 FC Levadia Tallinn FC Levadia Tallinn 11 27
2 Kalju Nomme Kalju Nomme 11 22
3 Flora Tallinn Flora Tallinn 11 21
4 Paide Paide 11 20
5 Laagri Laagri 11 16
6 Nõmme United Nõmme United 11 13
7 Tammeka Tammeka 11 13
8 Vaprus Vaprus 11 13
9 Kuressaare Kuressaare 11 9
10 Trans Narva Trans Narva 11 6
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Laagri vs Vaprus?
The model gives Laagri a 42% win probability, 28% for a draw, and 28% for an Vaprus win.
How many goals are expected in Laagri vs Vaprus?
Expected goals: Laagri 1.3, Vaprus 1.0 (total 2.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Laagri vs Vaprus?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.4%.