Brasileirão Série D
· Regular Season - 5
May 02, 2026 23:00
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Serra Branca a 38% win probability (draw 29%, Lagarto 31%). The final result was Lagarto 1–2 Serra Branca. In 1 previous meetings, Lagarto have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Serra Branca.
Match statistics
Pre-match prediction
31.55%
Lagarto
29.74%
X
38.71%
Serra ←
we assigned to the actual result (Serra Branca)
38.71%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Lagarto
1.40
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—
Serra
2.15
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League Table
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lagarto vs Serra Branca?
The final score was Lagarto 1–2 Serra Branca.
What did the model predict before Lagarto vs Serra Branca?
The model assigned 31% probability to a Lagarto win, 29% to a draw, and 38% to an Serra Branca win.