← Championship
Championship · Regular Season - 44 April 21, 2026 20:45
Leicester
#23 · 46 pts
2 – 2
Final score
Hull City
#6 · 73 pts
J. James 52' (pen.)
L. Thomas (ast. B. De Cordova-Reid) 54'
18' L. Millar
63' (ast. L. Millar) O. McBurnie

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Leicester a 44% win probability (draw 29%, Hull City 26%). The final result was Leicester 2–2 Hull City. In 1 previous meetings, Leicester have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Hull City.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
10
4
Shots on target
4
3.18
Actual xG
1.38
2
Saves
3
51%
Possession
49%
9
Corners
8
17
Tackles
19
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
18'
L. Millar⚽
L. Thomas
34'
35'
R. Giles
46'
L. Koumas / M. Belloumi ↕
⚽J. James (pen.)
52'
⚽L. Thomas · ast. B. De Cordova-Reid
54'
↕ J. James / H. Winks
61'
63'
ast. L. Millar · O. McBurnie⚽
O. Skipp
70'
72'
Y. Hirakawa / J. Lundstram ↕
72'
R. Slater / L. Millar ↕
↕ B. De Cordova-Reid / S. Mavididi
76'
↕ O. Skipp / A. Ramsey
76'
82'
K. Joseph / J. Gelhardt ↕
85'
I. Pandur
H. Winks
86'
↕ D. Mukasa / J. Ayew
90'+4
↕ R. Pereira / H. Choudhury
90'+4
90'
P. McNair / R. Giles ↕
Pre-match prediction
44.26%
Leicester
29.67%
X ←
26.07%
Hull
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 29.67% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Leicester
1.24
3.18
+1.94
Hull
0.85
1.38
+0.53
Leicester dominated by xG (3.18 vs 1.38). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Coventry Coventry 46 95
2 Ipswich Ipswich 46 84
3 Millwall Millwall 46 83
4 Southampton Southampton 46 80
5 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 46 80
6 Hull City Hull City 46 73
7 Wrexham Wrexham 46 71
8 Derby Derby 46 69
9 Norwich Norwich 46 65
10 Birmingham Birmingham 46 64
11 Swansea Swansea 46 64
12 Bristol City Bristol City 46 62
13 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 46 60
14 Preston Preston 46 60
15 QPR QPR 46 58
16 Watford Watford 46 57
17 Stoke City Stoke City 46 55
18 Portsmouth Portsmouth 46 55
19 Charlton Charlton 46 53
20 Blackburn Blackburn 46 52
21 West Brom West Brom 46 51
22 Oxford United Oxford United 46 47
23 Leicester Leicester 46 46
24 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 46 0
Lineups
Leicester Leicester 4-2-3-1
31
G 6.60
33 L. Thomas L. Thomas 1 ⚽ D 8.60
23
J. Vestergaard D 6.60
24
J. Lascelles D 7.00
21
R. Pereira 89' D 6.90
6 J. James J. James 1 ⚽ 61' M 7.50
22
O. Skipp 76' M 6.60
14 B. De Cordova-Reid B. De Cordova-Reid 1 👟 76' M 6.70
29
D. Mukasa 89' M 6.90
7 A. Fatawu A. Fatawu M 7.20
20
P. Daka F 6.30
Bench
17
H. Choudhury 1' M
15
H. Souttar D
8
H. Winks 29' M 6.50
9
J. Ayew 1' F
28
J. Monga M
10
S. Mavididi 14' F 6.90
Hull City Hull City 4-2-3-1
1 Ivor Pandur Ivor Pandur G 7.00
3 R. Giles R. Giles 89' D 6.20
15 John Egan John Egan D 7.00
6 Semi Ajayi Semi Ajayi D 7.60
2 L. Coyle L. Coyle D 6.50
25 M. Crooks M. Crooks M 6.50
5 J. Lundstram J. Lundstram 72' M 6.60
7 L. Millar L. Millar 1 ⚽ 1 👟 72' M 8.30
21 J. Gelhardt J. Gelhardt 82' M 6.50
10 Mohamed Belloumi Mohamed Belloumi 45' M 6.90
9 O. McBurnie O. McBurnie 1 ⚽ F 7.00
Bench
4 Charlie Hughes Charlie Hughes D
8
E. Matazo M
22 Kyle Joseph Kyle Joseph 8' F 6.60
36 Lewis Koumas Lewis Koumas 45' F 6.20
37 Paddy McNair Paddy McNair 8' D 6.70
27 Regan Slater Regan Slater 18' M 6.90
Best on the pitch
L. Thomas
L. Thomas
D · Leicester
8.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 35 pass
L. Millar
L. Millar
M · Hull
8.30
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots · 20 pass
Semi Ajayi
Semi Ajayi
D · Hull
7.60
1 shots · 36 pass
J. James
J. James
M · Leicester
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots · 17 pass
A. Fatawu
A. Fatawu
M · Leicester
7.20
1 shots · 44 pass
J. Lascelles
D · Leicester
7.00
1 shots · 24 pass
Leicester Leicester — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.60 — — — 23 8% — — —
L. Thomas D 90 8.60 1 — 1 35 20% 2 1 —
J. Vestergaard D 90 6.60 — — — 34 28% 3 — —
J. Lascelles D 90 7.00 — — 1 24 18% 1 — —
R. Pereira D 89 6.90 — — — 41 32% 5 — —
J. James M 61 7.50 1 — 2 17 15% 1 — —
O. Skipp M 76 6.60 — — — 25 21% 2 1 —
B. De Cordova-Reid M 76 6.70 — 1 — 23 17% 1 — —
D. Mukasa M 89 6.90 — — 3 53 41% — — —
A. Fatawu M 90 7.20 — — 1 44 29% 1 — —
P. Daka F 90 6.30 — — 3 23 18% — — —
H. Choudhury M 1 — — — — 2 1% 1 — —
H. Winks M 29 6.50 — — 1 19 15% — 1 —
J. Ayew F 1 — — — — 2 1% — — —
S. Mavididi F 14 6.90 — — — 11 8% — — —
Hull City Hull City — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Ivor Pandur G 90 7.00 — — — 28 11% — 1 —
R. Giles D 89 6.20 — — — 28 25% — 1 —
John Egan D 90 7.00 — — 1 48 35% 2 — —
Semi Ajayi D 90 7.60 — — 1 36 25% 2 — —
L. Coyle D 90 6.50 — — — 30 14% 1 — —
M. Crooks M 90 6.50 — — 3 35 27% 3 — —
J. Lundstram M 72 6.60 — — 1 32 22% 1 — —
L. Millar M 72 8.30 1 1 3 20 13% 1 — —
J. Gelhardt M 82 6.50 — — — 22 18% 4 — —
Mohamed Belloumi M 45 6.90 — — — 16 12% 1 — —
O. McBurnie F 90 7.00 1 — 1 26 19% — — —
Kyle Joseph F 8 6.60 — — — 5 3% 1 — —
Lewis Koumas F 45 6.20 — — — 6 3% 1 — —
Paddy McNair D 8 6.70 — — — 7 4% — — —
Regan Slater M 18 6.90 — — — 8 7% 2 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Leicester vs Hull City?
The final score was Leicester 2–2 Hull City.
What did the model predict before Leicester vs Hull City?
The model assigned 44% probability to a Leicester win, 29% to a draw, and 26% to an Hull City win.