LigaPro
· Regular Season - 12
May 04, 2026 00:00
S. Portocarrero
(ast. A. Aguas)
45'+7
E. Griffa
59'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Leones del Norte a 48% win probability (draw 29%, Emelec 22%). The final result was Leones del Norte 2–0 Emelec.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
9
3
Shots on target
2
2
Saves
1
47%
Possession
53%
3
Corners
6
12
Tackles
13
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
C. Velez
8'
22'
V. Griffith
R. Arroyo
32'
43'
J. Cevallos
⚽S. Portocarrero
· ast. A. Aguas
45'+7
45'+11
S. Valencia
D. Pazmino
45'+11
46'
F. Pizzini
/
J. Cevallos
⚽E. Griffa
59'
64'
L. Klimowicz
/
A. Mina
T. Coppo
/ R. Borja
64'
S. Portocarrero
/ M. De La Cruz
64'
D. Pazmino
/ C. Solano
73'
E. Griffa
/ J. Cabeza
73'
80'
J. Gonzaga
/
J. Neris
80'
G. Napoli
/
A. Mina
A. Aguas
/ F. Vargas
81'
Pre-match prediction
48.03%
Leones ←
29.31%
X
22.66%
Emelec
we assigned to the actual result (Leones del Norte)
48.03%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.32
—
—
0.60
—
—
Lineups
45
Leonel Nazareno
G
34
Segundo Portocarrero
1 ⚽
64'
D
2
Jordan Morán
D
23
Nicolás Monserrat
D
32
Ariel Aguas
81'
D
4
Jonathan Arroyo
D
8
C. Velez
M
5
T. Coppo
64'
M
70
Dario Pazmino
73'
M
6
E. Griffa
1 ⚽
73'
F
40
Juan Anangono
F
Bench
27
Caicedo Nestor
F
99
Cristhian Solano
17'
M
17
Jairo Mairongo
M
13
J. Cabeza
17'
M
24
J. L. Angulo
G
11
Martín Caramuto
M
12
G
3
Ignacio Guerrico
64'
D
Ignacio Guerrico
64'
D
51
D
2
D
16
Sergio Quintero
D
Sergio Quintero
D
14
Romario Caicedo
D
Romario Caicedo
D
21
J. Cevallos
45'
M
6
V. Griffith
M
V. Griffith
M
5
Angelo Mina
80'
M
Angelo Mina
80'
M
15
Luis Fragozo
F
Luis Fragozo
F
9
J. Neris
80'
F
Bench
4
Estalin Segura
D
Estalin Segura
D
10
Francisco Pizzini
45'
F
Francisco Pizzini
45'
F
8
Gonzalo Nápoli
10'
M
Gonzalo Nápoli
10'
M
7
Luca Klimowicz
26'
F
Luca Klimowicz
26'
F
80
Orlando Herrera
D
Orlando Herrera
D
Best on the pitch
Segundo Portocarrero
D · Leones
8.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 17 pass
D · Emelec
7.30
· 41 pass
E. Griffa
F · Leones
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 16 pass
Ariel Aguas
D · Leones
7.30
· 28 pass
Leonel Nazareno
G · Leones
7.30
· 20 pass
Nicolás Monserrat
D · Leones
7.20
1 shots
· 34 pass
Leones del Norte — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leonel Nazareno | G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Segundo Portocarrero | D | 64 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 17 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Jordan Morán | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 33 | 29% | 3 | — | — |
| Nicolás Monserrat | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Ariel Aguas | D | 81 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| Jonathan Arroyo | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 30 | 22% | 2 | 1 | — |
| C. Velez | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 44 | 30% | 2 | 1 | — |
| T. Coppo | M | 64 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 22 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Dario Pazmino | M | 73 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 19% | 2 | 1 | — |
| E. Griffa | F | 73 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 16 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Juan Anangono | F | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Cristhian Solano | M | 17 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| J. Cabeza | M | 17 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
Emelec — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 12% | — | — | — | |
| Ignacio Guerrico | D | 64 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 41 | 33% | — | 1 | — | |
| D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 24% | 1 | — | — | |
| Sergio Quintero | D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Romario Caicedo | D | 90 | 5.30 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 35% | — | — | — |
| J. Cevallos | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
| V. Griffith | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 32 | 27% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Angelo Mina | M | 80 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 31 | 28% | 3 | — | — |
| Luis Fragozo | F | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Neris | F | 80 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 13 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Francisco Pizzini | F | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 20 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Gonzalo Nápoli | M | 10 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| Luca Klimowicz | F | 26 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 6 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Leones del Norte vs Emelec?
The final score was Leones del Norte 2–0 Emelec.
What did the model predict before Leones del Norte vs Emelec?
The model assigned 48% probability to a Leones del Norte win, 29% to a draw, and 22% to an Emelec win.