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Levski Sofia - CSKA Sofia

First League May 16, 2026 15:00
Levski Sofia
#1 · 70 pts
vs
CSKA Sofia
#3 · 63 pts
Weather at kick-off ☁️ Overcast 19.7°C 💨 4 km/h 🌧️ 53% · Sofia
⚡ Pre-match analysis
44.61%
Win
Levski Sofia
26.45%
Draw
28.95%
Win
CSKA Sofia
1.34
Expected xG
1.02

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Levski Sofia a 44% win probability, against 26% for a draw and 28% for CSKA Sofia. Expected goals are 1.3 for Levski Sofia and 1.0 for CSKA Sofia (total 2.4), with a 65% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 12.9% probability. In 3 previous meetings, Levski Sofia have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for CSKA Sofia.

Score Matrix
↕ Levski Sofia CSKA Sofia →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.5% 9.7% 5.0% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
1 12.6% 12.9% 6.6% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.4% 8.6% 4.4% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.7% 3.8% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% —
4 1.3% 1.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% —
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% — —
Recent form
Levski Sofia Levski Sofia
D Ludogorets 1–1
L Ludogorets 0–1
W CSKA 1948 1–0
W CSKA Sofia 1–3
D CSKA Sofia 1–1
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 40%
CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia
D CSKA 1948 1–1
W CSKA 1948 0–1
W Ludogorets 1–0
L Levski Sofia 1–3
D Levski Sofia 1–1
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 47%
Playing profile
Levski Sofia Levski Sofia
Attack
34
Defence
80
Form
62
CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia
Attack
32
Defence
83
Form
67
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
1
Levski Sofia
1
Draw
1
CSKA Sofia
W 25 Apr 2026 First League 3–1
D 13 Apr 2026 First League 1–1
L 8 Nov 2025 First League 0–1
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 30 70
1 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 34 77
2 Ludogorets Ludogorets 34 64
2 Ludogorets Ludogorets 30 60
3 CSKA 1948 CSKA 1948 30 59
3 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 34 63
4 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 30 56
4 CSKA 1948 CSKA 1948 34 63
5 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna 34 54
5 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 30 46
6 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna 30 44
6 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 34 52
7 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 30 44
7 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 34 48
8 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 34 43
8 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 30 40
9 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 30 39
9 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa 35 47
10 Lokomotiv Sofia Lokomotiv Sofia 35 44
10 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa 30 38
11 Lokomotiv Sofia Lokomotiv Sofia 30 37
11 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 35 43
12 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna 30 27
12 Beroe Beroe 35 34
13 Dobrudzha Dobrudzha 30 26
13 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia 35 32
14 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia 30 26
14 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna 35 31
15 Beroe Beroe 30 23
15 Dobrudzha Dobrudzha 35 30
16 Montana Montana 30 17
16 Montana Montana 35 23
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Levski Sofia vs CSKA Sofia?
The model gives Levski Sofia a 44% win probability, 26% for a draw, and 28% for an CSKA Sofia win.
How many goals are expected in Levski Sofia vs CSKA Sofia?
Expected goals: Levski Sofia 1.3, CSKA Sofia 1.0 (total 2.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 65%.
What is the most likely score in Levski Sofia vs CSKA Sofia?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.9%.