USL Championship
· Group Stage
April 12, 2026 03:00
J. Greene
85'
21'
(ast. A. Rodriguez)
A. Sanchez
27'
(ast. J. Williams)
J. Kwizera
68'
(ast. N. Fuson)
Leo Afonso
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lexington a 34% win probability (draw 32%, Rhode Island 33%). The final result was Lexington 1–3 Rhode Island.
Match statistics
Match Events
21'
ast. A. Rodriguez ·
A. Sanchez⚽
27'
ast. J. Williams ·
J. Kwizera⚽
56'
N. Fuson
/
A. Rodriguez
K. Burks
63'
68'
ast. N. Fuson ·
Leo Afonso⚽
70'
A. Shapiro-Thompson
/
Leo Afonso
70'
N. Scardina
/
J. Kwizera
Nick Firmino
/ M. Henry-Scott
71'
J. Hafferty
/ J. Brown
71'
M. Adedokun
/ T. Scott
80'
⚽J. Greene
85'
88'
L. Dorsey
/
J. Williams
88'
G. Stoneman
/
H. Bacharach Capdevila
A. Ordonez
90'+1
J. Greene
/ X. Zengue
90'
Pre-match prediction
34.01%
Lexington
32.1%
X
33.89%
Rhode ←
we assigned to the actual result (Rhode Island)
33.89%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.22
—
—
1.25
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lexington vs Rhode Island?
The final score was Lexington 1–3 Rhode Island.
What did the model predict before Lexington vs Rhode Island?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Lexington win, 32% to a draw, and 33% to an Rhode Island win.