División Profesional · Apertura - 19 May 02, 2026 01:00

Libertad Asuncion

#5 · 31 pts

5 – 0

Final score

Club Sp. San Lorenzo

#12 · 11 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Libertad Asuncion

A. Molinas 25'

L. Melgarejo (ast. A. Fretes) 29'

L. Melgarejo 53'

R. Villalba 66'

J. Recalde 85'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Libertad Asuncion a 72% win probability (draw 16%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 11%). The final result was Libertad Asuncion 5–0 Club Sp. San Lorenzo. In 1 previous meetings, Libertad Asuncion have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Club Sp. San Lorenzo.

Match statistics

10

Shots on target

2

1.98

Actual xG

0.56

52%

Possession

48%

2

Corners

5

Match Events

11'

⚽A. Molinas

25'

⚽L. Melgarejo · ast. A. Fretes

29'

46'

C. Colman / A. Alvarez ↕

46'

L. Esteche / J. Duarte ↕

⚽L. Melgarejo

53'

59'

T. Paredes / M. Aguero ↕

59'

H. Villamayor / M. Garcia ↕

⚽R. Villalba

66'

↕ M. Rojas / E. Villalba

71'

↕ L. Melgarejo / J. Recalde

71'

71'

A. Galeano / I. Torres ↕

↕ A. Fretes / J. Bernal

79'

↕ G. Aguilar / O. R. Vera

79'

↕ A. Molinas / J. Bogarin

83'

⚽J. Recalde

85'

Pre-match prediction

72.65%

Libertad ←

16.3%

X

11.05%

Club

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Libertad Asuncion) 72.65% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Libertad

2.35

1.98

-0.37

Club

0.42

0.56

+0.14

Libertad Asuncion dominated by xG (1.98 vs 0.56). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Olimpia	20	43
2	Nacional Asuncion	20	35
3	Cerro Porteno	20	35
4	Sportivo Ameliano	20	33
5	Libertad Asuncion	21	31
6	Club Guarani	20	26
7	Sportivo Trinidense	20	26
8	Deportivo Recoleta	20	25
9	2 de Mayo	21	22
10	Rubio NU	20	22
11	Sportivo Luqueno	20	19
12	Club Sp. San Lorenzo	20	11