Liga BetPlay
· Apertura - 18
April 27, 2026 01:10
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Llaneros a 42% win probability (draw 39%, Alianza Valledupar 18%). The final result was Llaneros 0–0 Alianza Valledupar.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
3
2
Shots on target
1
0.63
Actual xG
0.23
1
Saves
2
58%
Possession
42%
7
Corners
2
16
Tackles
16
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
43'
W. Fernandez
J. Medranda
/ J. Escobar Salcedo
46'
Pre-match prediction
42.11%
Llaneros
39.04%
X ←
18.86%
Alianza
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
39.04%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.93
0.63
-0.3
0.52
0.23
-0.29
Llaneros dominated by xG (0.63 vs 0.23).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
12
Juan Loaiza
G
21
Francisco Meza
D
23
Alejandro Moralez
D
2
Howell Mena
84'
D
94
J. Medranda
45'
M
17
68'
M
77
Kevin Rincón
M
35
K. Caicedo
80'
M
11
L. Marimon
69'
F
95
J. Vásquez
F
J. Vásquez
F
10
Neider Ospina
F
Bench
26
Dennis Quintero
D
33
Kelvin Osorio
10'
M
6
Marlon Sierra
10'
M
1
G
33
J. Lasso
D
23
Juan Viveros
D
5
P. Franco
D
16
Yilson Rosales
D
27
Yeiner Londoño
79'
M
15
C. Esparragoza
M
C. Esparragoza
M
10
W. Fernandez
87'
M
8
Jesús Muñoz
M
17
Felipe Pardo
72'
F
29
C. Lucumi
79'
F
Bench
24
E. Banguero
D
21
Fabián Cantillo
3'
M
7
J. Castillo
11'
M
J. Castillo
11'
M
26
Misael Martínez
11'
F
Best on the pitch
Alejandro Moralez
D · Llaneros
7.90
· 51 pass
W. Fernandez
M · Alianza
7.70
· 35 pass
Francisco Meza
D · Llaneros
7.60
· 54 pass
Juan Loaiza
G · Llaneros
7.50
· 14 pass
Kevin Rincón
M · Llaneros
7.50
2 shots
· 34 pass
C. Esparragoza
M · Alianza
7.30
1 shots
· 44 pass
Llaneros — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Loaiza | G | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 14 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Francisco Meza | D | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 54 | 48% | — | — | — |
| Alejandro Moralez | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 51 | 39% | 2 | — | — |
| Howell Mena | D | 84 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 15% | 4 | — | — |
| J. Medranda | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 24% | — | — | — |
| M | 68 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 31 | 25% | 2 | — | — | |
| Kevin Rincón | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 2 | 34 | 30% | 5 | — | — |
| K. Caicedo | M | 80 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Marimon | F | 69 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 9% | — | — | — |
| J. Vásquez | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Neider Ospina | F | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 30 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Kelvin Osorio | M | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Marlon Sierra | M | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | 1 | — |
Alianza Valledupar — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 10% | — | — | — | |
| J. Lasso | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Juan Viveros | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 20% | 1 | 1 | — |
| P. Franco | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 22% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Yilson Rosales | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| Yeiner Londoño | M | 79 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 13% | 2 | 1 | — |
| C. Esparragoza | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 31% | 3 | — | — |
| W. Fernandez | M | 87 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 35 | 31% | 3 | — | — |
| Jesús Muñoz | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Felipe Pardo | F | 72 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Lucumi | F | 79 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 10 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Fabián Cantillo | M | 3 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Castillo | M | 11 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Misael Martínez | F | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Llaneros vs Alianza Valledupar?
The final score was Llaneros 0–0 Alianza Valledupar.
What did the model predict before Llaneros vs Alianza Valledupar?
The model assigned 42% probability to a Llaneros win, 39% to a draw, and 18% to an Alianza Valledupar win.