MLS
· Regular Season - 8
April 20, 2026 03:00
R. Roberts
74'
(og)
54'
(ast. T. Werner)
O. Bouda
56'
(ast. B. Leroux)
T. Werner
(og)
59'
R. Porteous
80'
(ast. N. Tsakiris)
O. Bouda
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Los Angeles FC a 39% win probability (draw 28%, San Jose Earthquakes 32%). The final result was Los Angeles FC 1–4 San Jose Earthquakes.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
10
3
Shots on target
5
1.04
Actual xG
1.38
2
Saves
3
53%
Possession
47%
5
Corners
3
21
Tackles
17
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
T. Tillman
23'
51'
B. Leroux
54'
ast. T. Werner ·
O. Bouda⚽
56'
ast. B. Leroux ·
T. Werner⚽
R. Porteous
57'
59'
(og)
R. Porteous⚽
D. Martinez
/ J. Shaffelburg
60'
T. Tillman
/ J. Ebobisse
60'
E. Segura
/ R. Hollingshead
60'
61'
R. Roberts
D. Bouanga
61'
69'
D. Romney
/
J. Ricketts
⚽R. Roberts
(og)
74'
76'
I. Harkes
/
B. Leroux
76'
J. Skahan
/
T. Werner
80'
ast. N. Tsakiris ·
O. Bouda⚽
S. Palencia
/ R. Raposo
81'
87'
J. A. Gonzalez Mendoza
/
R. Vieira
88'
N. Fernandez
/
P. Judd
89'
I. Harkes
Pre-match prediction
39.82%
Los
28.07%
X
32.11%
San ←
we assigned to the actual result (San Jose Earthquakes)
32.11%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.68
1.04
-0.64
1.53
1.38
-0.15
San Jose Earthquakes dominated by xG (1.38 vs 1.04).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
4
Eddie Segura
60'
D
Eddie Segura
60'
D
91
Nkosi Tafari
D
Nkosi Tafari
D
5
Ryan Porteous
1 ⚽
D
Ryan Porteous
1 ⚽
D
14
Sergi Palencia
81'
D
Sergi Palencia
81'
D
8
M
66
Mathieu Choinière
M
Mathieu Choinière
M
99
Denis Bouanga
M
Denis Bouanga
M
11
Timothy Tillman
60'
M
Timothy Tillman
60'
M
30
David Martínez Morales
60'
M
David Martínez Morales
60'
M
7
Son Heung-min
F
Son Heung-min
F
Bench
33
Aaron Long
D
Aaron Long
D
18
Jacob Shaffelburg
30'
F
Jacob Shaffelburg
30'
F
17
Jeremy Ebobisse
30'
F
Jeremy Ebobisse
30'
F
22
J. Terry
M
27
Nathan Ordaz
F
Nathan Ordaz
F
24
Ryan Hollingshead
30'
D
Ryan Hollingshead
30'
D
21
Ryan Raposo
9'
M
Ryan Raposo
9'
M
19
Tyler Boyd
F
Tyler Boyd
F
42
Daniel
G
Daniel
G
2
Jamar Ricketts
69'
D
Jamar Ricketts
69'
D
18
Reid Roberts
1 ⚽
D
Reid Roberts
1 ⚽
D
5
D
28
Benjamin Kikanović
D
Benjamin Kikanović
D
34
Beau Leroux
1 👟
76'
M
Beau Leroux
1 👟
76'
M
14
Ronaldo Vieira
86'
M
Ronaldo Vieira
86'
M
11
T. Werner
1 ⚽
1 👟
76'
M
10
N. Tsakiris
1 👟
M
7
Ousseni Bouda
2 ⚽
M
Ousseni Bouda
2 ⚽
M
19
Preston Judd
86'
F
Preston Judd
86'
F
Bench
4
Dave Romney
21'
D
Dave Romney
21'
D
36
E. Edwards
G
6
Ian Harkes
14'
M
Ian Harkes
14'
M
17
Jack Jasinski
D
Jack Jasinski
D
16
Jack Skahan
14'
M
Jack Skahan
14'
M
40
Jonathan Gonzalez
12'
M
Jonathan Gonzalez
12'
M
25
Max Floriani
D
Max Floriani
D
20
Nick Fernandez
12'
M
Nick Fernandez
12'
M
21
Noel Buck
M
Noel Buck
M
Best on the pitch
Ousseni Bouda
M · San
8.20
2 ⚽
4 shots
· 25 pass
T. Werner
M · San
8.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 36 pass
Daniel
G · San
7.70
· 47 pass
Ronaldo Vieira
M · San
7.50
1 shots
· 35 pass
Beau Leroux
M · San
7.20
1 👟
· 43 pass
Jack Skahan
M · San
6.90
· 3 pass
Los Angeles FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 5.70 | — | — | — | 23 | 10% | — | — | — | |
| Eddie Segura | D | 60 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| Nkosi Tafari | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 54 | 47% | 1 | — | — |
| Ryan Porteous | D | 90 | 6.00 | 1 | — | 2 | 74 | 71% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Sergi Palencia | D | 81 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 42 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 77 | 66% | 5 | — | — | |
| Mathieu Choinière | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 62 | 60% | 1 | — | — |
| Denis Bouanga | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 21% | — | 1 | — |
| Timothy Tillman | M | 60 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 21 | 15% | 1 | 1 | — |
| David Martínez Morales | M | 60 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Son Heung-min | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 25 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Jacob Shaffelburg | F | 30 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 10 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Jeremy Ebobisse | F | 30 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Ryan Hollingshead | D | 30 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Ryan Raposo | M | 9 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
San Jose Earthquakes — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel | G | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 47 | 34% | — | — | — |
| Jamar Ricketts | D | 69 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 34 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Reid Roberts | D | 90 | 6.50 | 1 | — | — | 64 | 56% | 4 | 1 | — |
| D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 48 | 39% | 1 | — | — | |
| Benjamin Kikanović | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 35 | 28% | 3 | — | — |
| Beau Leroux | M | 76 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 43 | 38% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Ronaldo Vieira | M | 86 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Werner | M | 76 | 8.20 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 36 | 29% | — | — | — |
| N. Tsakiris | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 54 | 51% | — | — | — |
| Ousseni Bouda | M | 90 | 8.20 | 2 | — | 4 | 25 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| Preston Judd | F | 86 | 6.00 | — | — | 3 | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Dave Romney | D | 21 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Ian Harkes | M | 14 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 6% | — | 1 | — |
| Jack Skahan | M | 14 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Jonathan Gonzalez | M | 12 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Nick Fernandez | M | 12 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Los Angeles FC vs San Jose Earthquakes?
The final score was Los Angeles FC 1–4 San Jose Earthquakes.
What did the model predict before Los Angeles FC vs San Jose Earthquakes?
The model assigned 39% probability to a Los Angeles FC win, 28% to a draw, and 32% to an San Jose Earthquakes win.