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Model wrong — prediction Lumezzane, result Pareggio

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lumezzane a 70% win probability (draw 20%, Alcione 9%). The final result was Lumezzane 0–0 Alcione. In 2 previous meetings, Lumezzane have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Alcione.

Match statistics
Pre-match prediction
70.06%
Lumezzane
20.22%
X ←
9.72%
Alcione
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 20.22% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Lumezzane
2.07
Alcione
0.47
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lumezzane vs Alcione?
The final score was Lumezzane 0–0 Alcione.
What did the model predict before Lumezzane vs Alcione?
The model assigned 70% probability to a Lumezzane win, 20% to a draw, and 9% to an Alcione win.