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Macara - Independiente del Valle

LigaPro May 16, 2026 21:00
Macara
#8 · 19 pts
vs
Independiente del Valle
#1 · 31 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
36.86%
Win
Macara
22.62%
Draw
40.52%
Win
Independiente del Valle
1.84
Expected xG
2.03

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Independiente del Valle a 40% win probability, against 22% for a draw and 36% for Macara. Expected goals are 1.8 for Macara and 2.0 for Independiente del Valle (total 3.9), with a 73% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–2 at 7.9% probability.

Score Matrix
↕ Macara Independiente del Valle →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.1% 4.2% 4.3% 2.9% 1.5% 0.6%
1 3.8% 7.8% 7.9% 5.4% 2.7% 1.1%
2 3.5% 7.2% 7.3% 4.9% 2.5% 1.0%
3 2.2% 4.4% 4.5% 3.0% 1.5% 0.6%
4 1.0% 2.0% 2.1% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3%
5 0.4% 0.7% 0.8% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
Recent form
Macara Macara
W Manta FC 0–1
L Orense SC 1–2
W Libertad 3–0
L Universidad Catolica 4–0
W Barcelona SC 3–1
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 31%
Independiente del Valle Independiente del Valle
W Barcelona SC 1–0
W Universidad Catolica 2–3
W Leones del Norte 2–1
W Delfin SC 0–1
L LDU de Quito 0–2
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 31%
Playing profile
Macara Macara
Attack
37
Defence
64
Form
50
Independiente del Valle Independiente del Valle
Attack
49
Defence
70
Form
72
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Independiente del Valle Independiente del Valle 13 31
2 Universidad Catolica Universidad Catolica 13 22
3 Aucas Aucas 13 22
4 LDU de Quito LDU de Quito 13 20
5 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 13 20
6 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 13 20
7 Orense SC Orense SC 13 19
8 Macara Macara 13 19
9 Guayaquil City FC Guayaquil City FC 13 18
10 Mushuc Runa SC Mushuc Runa SC 13 16
11 Delfin SC Delfin SC 13 15
12 Emelec Emelec 13 15
13 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 13 14
14 Libertad Libertad 13 14
15 Leones del Norte Leones del Norte 13 13
16 Manta FC Manta FC 13 8
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Macara vs Independiente del Valle?
The model gives Macara a 36% win probability, 22% for a draw, and 40% for an Independiente del Valle win.
How many goals are expected in Macara vs Independiente del Valle?
Expected goals: Macara 1.8, Independiente del Valle 2.0 (total 3.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 73%.
What is the most likely score in Macara vs Independiente del Valle?
1–2 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 7.9%.