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Maccabi Tel Aviv - Beitar Jerusalem

Ligat Ha'al May 16, 2026 19:30
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#3 · 49 pts
vs
Beitar Jerusalem
#2 · 71 pts
Weather at kick-off ⛅ Partly cloudy 21.5°C 💨 7 km/h · Tel-Aviv
⚡ Pre-match analysis
34.78%
Win
Maccabi Tel Aviv
25.73%
Draw
39.5%
Win
Beitar Jerusalem
1.18
Expected xG
1.3

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Beitar Jerusalem a 39% win probability, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Maccabi Tel Aviv. Expected goals are 1.2 for Maccabi Tel Aviv and 1.3 for Beitar Jerusalem (total 2.5), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 12.9% probability. In 3 previous meetings, Maccabi Tel Aviv have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for Beitar Jerusalem.

Score Matrix
↕ Maccabi Tel Aviv Beitar Jerusalem →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.4% 10.9% 7.1% 3.1% 1.0% 0.3%
1 9.9% 12.9% 8.3% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3%
2 5.8% 7.6% 4.9% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
3 2.3% 3.0% 1.9% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.7% 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% —
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% — —
Recent form
Maccabi Tel Aviv Maccabi Tel Aviv
W Maccabi Haifa 3–0
D Hapoel Tel Aviv 1–1
W Hapoel Petah Tikva 4–0
L Beitar Jerusalem 4–2
W Hapoel Beer Sheva 1–0
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 44%
Beitar Jerusalem Beitar Jerusalem
D Hapoel Beer Sheva 1–1
L Maccabi Haifa 3–0
W Hapoel Tel Aviv 0–1
W Maccabi Tel Aviv 4–2
W Hapoel Petah Tikva 3–1
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 26%
Playing profile
Maccabi Tel Aviv Maccabi Tel Aviv
Attack
44
Defence
66
Form
68
Beitar Jerusalem Beitar Jerusalem
Attack
50
Defence
68
Form
63
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1
Draw
2
Beitar Jerusalem
L 2 May 2026 Ligat Ha'al 2–4
D 16 Feb 2026 Ligat Ha'al 0–0
L 9 Nov 2025 Ligat Ha'al 2–6
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Maccabi Netanya Maccabi Netanya 32 45
1 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 33 73
1 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 26 59
2 Ironi Kiryat Shmona Ironi Kiryat Shmona 32 40
2 Beitar Jerusalem Beitar Jerusalem 33 71
2 Beitar Jerusalem Beitar Jerusalem 26 57
3 Maccabi Tel Aviv Maccabi Tel Aviv 26 49
3 Maccabi Tel Aviv Maccabi Tel Aviv 33 65
3 Bnei Sakhnin Bnei Sakhnin 32 34
4 Ironi Tiberias Ironi Tiberias 32 33
4 Hapoel Tel Aviv Hapoel Tel Aviv 26 49
4 Hapoel Tel Aviv Hapoel Tel Aviv 33 59
5 Maccabi Haifa Maccabi Haifa 33 48
5 Maccabi Haifa Maccabi Haifa 26 42
5 Hapoel Haifa Hapoel Haifa 32 31
6 Hapoel Petah Tikva Hapoel Petah Tikva 33 37
6 Hapoel Petah Tikva Hapoel Petah Tikva 26 37
6 Hapoel Katamon Hapoel Katamon 32 31
7 Ashdod Ashdod 32 25
7 Maccabi Netanya Maccabi Netanya 26 35
8 Bnei Sakhnin Bnei Sakhnin 26 32
8 Maccabi Bnei Raina Maccabi Bnei Raina 32 22
9 Ironi Kiryat Shmona Ironi Kiryat Shmona 26 27
10 Hapoel Haifa Hapoel Haifa 26 25
11 Ashdod Ashdod 25 23
12 Hapoel Katamon Hapoel Katamon 26 21
13 Ironi Tiberias Ironi Tiberias 25 18
14 Maccabi Bnei Raina Maccabi Bnei Raina 26 12
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Beitar Jerusalem?
The model gives Maccabi Tel Aviv a 34% win probability, 25% for a draw, and 39% for an Beitar Jerusalem win.
How many goals are expected in Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Beitar Jerusalem?
Expected goals: Maccabi Tel Aviv 1.2, Beitar Jerusalem 1.3 (total 2.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Beitar Jerusalem?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.9%.