Premier League
· Regular Season - 35
May 03, 2026 16:30
M. Cunha
6'
B. Sesko
14'
K. Mainoo
77'
47'
D. Szoboszlai
56'
(ast. D. Szoboszlai)
C. Gakpo
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Manchester United a 46% win probability (draw 21%, Liverpool 31%). The final result was Manchester United 3–2 Liverpool. In 1 previous meetings, Manchester United have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Liverpool.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
9
6
Shots on target
5
2.14
Actual xG
0.89
3
Saves
3
38%
Possession
62%
3
Corners
2
19
Tackles
8
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽M. Cunha
6'
⚽B. Sesko
14'
B. Sesko
/ A. Diallo
46'
47'
D. Szoboszlai⚽
L. Shaw
49'
56'
ast. D. Szoboszlai ·
C. Gakpo⚽
59'
M. Kerkez
/
A. Robertson
75'
C. Jones
75'
R. Ngumoha
/
J. Frimpong
B. Mbeumo
/ P. Dorgu
75'
⚽K. Mainoo
77'
B. Fernandes
81'
85'
C. Gakpo
M. Cunha
/ J. Zirkzee
87'
87'
F. Chiesa
/
I. Konate
B. Fernandes
/ L. Yoro
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
46.96%
Manchester ←
21.79%
X
31.25%
Liverpool
we assigned to the actual result (Manchester United)
46.96%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.00
2.14
+0.14
1.61
0.89
-0.72
Manchester United dominated by xG (2.14 vs 0.89).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
31
G
23
L. Shaw
D
26
D
5
D
2
D. Dalot
D
37
K. Mainoo
1 ⚽
M
18
Casemiro
M
Casemiro
M
10
Matheus Cunha
1 ⚽
87'
M
8
Bruno Fernandes
M
Bruno Fernandes
M
19
B. Mbeumo
75'
M
B. Mbeumo
75'
M
30
B. Šeško
1 ⚽
45'
F
B. Šeško
1 ⚽
45'
F
Bench
16
A. Diallo
51'
F
A. Diallo
51'
F
11
J. Zirkzee
9'
F
7
Mason Mount
M
3
N. Mazraoui
D
28
G
26
A. Robertson
59'
D
4
V. van Dijk
D
V. van Dijk
D
5
Ibrahima Konaté
87'
D
17
C. Jones
D
10
Alexis Mac Allister
M
38
R. Gravenberch
M
18
C. Gakpo
1 ⚽
M
C. Gakpo
1 ⚽
M
30
J. Frimpong
75'
M
7
F. Wirtz
F
F. Wirtz
F
8
D. Szoboszlai
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
D. Szoboszlai
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
Bench
14
F. Chiesa
9'
F
2
J. Gomez
D
6
Miloš Kerkez
37'
D
73
R. Ngumoha
21'
F
Best on the pitch
D. Szoboszlai
F · Liverpool
8.30
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 64 pass
K. Mainoo
M · Manchester
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 54 pass
Bruno Fernandes
M · Manchester
8.00
2 shots
· 35 pass
Matheus Cunha
M · Manchester
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 27 pass
Casemiro
M · Manchester
7.20
1 shots
· 48 pass
C. Gakpo
M · Liverpool
6.90
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 21 pass
Manchester United — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 19% | — | — | — | |
| L. Shaw | D | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 26 | 21% | 4 | 1 | — |
| D | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 39 | 34% | 3 | — | — | |
| D | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 24% | 3 | — | — | |
| D. Dalot | D | 96 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Mainoo | M | 96 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 54 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| Casemiro | M | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 38% | 4 | — | — |
| Matheus Cunha | M | 87 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 27 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Bruno Fernandes | M | 96 | 8.00 | — | — | 2 | 35 | 27% | — | 1 | — |
| B. Mbeumo | M | 75 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Šeško | F | 45 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| A. Diallo | F | 51 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Zirkzee | F | 9 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
Liverpool — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 22% | — | — | — | |
| A. Robertson | D | 59 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 21% | — | — | — |
| V. van Dijk | D | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 70 | 66% | — | — | — |
| Ibrahima Konaté | D | 87 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 60 | 57% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Jones | D | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 99 | 86% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Alexis Mac Allister | M | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 65 | 61% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Gravenberch | M | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 61 | 54% | — | — | — |
| C. Gakpo | M | 96 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 21 | 14% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Frimpong | M | 75 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 16% | — | — | — |
| F. Wirtz | F | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 48 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Szoboszlai | F | 96 | 8.30 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 64 | 57% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Chiesa | F | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Miloš Kerkez | D | 37 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 16 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Ngumoha | F | 21 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Manchester United vs Liverpool?
The final score was Manchester United 3–2 Liverpool.
What did the model predict before Manchester United vs Liverpool?
The model assigned 46% probability to a Manchester United win, 21% to a draw, and 31% to an Liverpool win.